NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	3.6 [1054]		MVP	John Starks (UTA): +6.6%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	1.3 [835]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (POR): -12.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	46%	-0.07	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	18	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	17	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	76%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	4	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.6	28.0	15.6	31.2	1.8	29.0	135.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.8%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +19.2%

POR -2.7%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.6	98.8	106.9	102.3
season	16.0	16.1		105.0	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	13.6	18.0	15.0	15.8
UTA	14.7	21.4	16.3	17.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-19	30	13.9	16.1	-2.19	17.2	17.5	-0.39
Chris Dudley	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.0	15.9	-0.92	13.0	18.1	-5.13
Derek Anderson	61	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-17	26	15.3	16.9	-1.58	17.0	18.9	-1.92
Dale Davis	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-2	-4	16.7	14.9	1.79	19.8	15.2	4.61
Rick Brunson	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	15.5	16.0	-0.52	18.0	17.2	0.85
Ruben Patterson	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	0	-8	16.1	15.3	0.83	19.2	14.6	4.62
Damon Stoudamire	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	16.2	15.0	1.20	17.5	17.5	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	1	-10	16.3	14.4	1.93	18.4	14.9	3.55
Steve Kerr	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	5	-18	15.9	15.7	0.15	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Shawn Kemp	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.9	16.7	-1.84	15.0	19.9	-4.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-12	32	17.1	19.1	-1.98	16.7	12.2	4.45
Jarron Collins	29	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-7	22	16.2	18.1	-1.97	17.6	14.9	2.71
John Starks	45	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	3	2	16.4	18.7	-2.33	14.5	17.1	-2.53
Donyell Marshall	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	18.2	13.8	4.45	16.2	14.0	2.15
Andrei Kirilenko	25	24	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	-2	12	17.8	17.4	0.39	14.4	16.3	-1.92
John Stockton	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-2	12	19.7	14.9	4.73	17.1	14.1	3.04
John Crotty	47	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	12	-16	16.9	18.2	-1.33	14.3	17.4	-3.13
Greg Ostertag	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	9	-10	16.4	18.5	-2.11	15.2	16.3	-1.08
DeShawn Stevenson	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	16.8	17.9	-1.09	17.4	14.7	2.73
Quincy Lewis	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	5	-2	12.5	17.7	-5.22	12.2	16.0	-3.73
Scott Padgett	7	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	17	-26	23.1	17.0	6.16	12.0	16.1	-4.09
John Amaechi	14	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.27	-15	23	-38	19.6	17.1	2.57	12.3	16.4	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 80, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIL 94, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%