inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement3.8 [1052] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +25.1%
Toronto Raptors 116 Comeback1.1 [1250] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -10.7%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.24-0.010.071681%0.1700.004100%0.02
John Henson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00667%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01650%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Nate Wolters0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miroslav Raduljica0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Brandon Knight-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.051157%0.021-0.026100%0.02
O.J. Mayo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07831%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Caron Butler-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02736%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.01-0.021046%0.024-0.08425%-0.02
Larry Sanders-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.00-0.04830%-0.043-0.03450%-0.02
Khris Middleton-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.03812%-0.082-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.250.020.028100%0.2500.007100%0.03
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.00583%0.1000.002100%0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.001169%0.093-0.03475%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.001651%0.051-0.02560%-0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.02580%0.044-0.0300%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.001057%0.054-0.071070%0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01837%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.000.04844%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.51.828.217.828.02.030.0135.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +30.6%
TOR +9.1%
MIL -0.4%
TOR +6.2%
TOR +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game15.315.715.1103.3122.1105.2
season15.715.9101.4107.2
opponent15.115.1104.2109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.515.714.816.315.3
TOR14.319.314.615.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nate Wolters9100.00-0.500.50-0.217-293610.315.9-5.5214.115.8-1.74
Miroslav Raduljica9100.00-0.500.50-0.217-293610.315.9-5.5214.115.8-1.74
Larry Sanders4951-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-191615.714.80.8817.313.83.50
Luke Ridnour4647-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-12215.715.00.7015.216.1-0.91
Ersan Ilyasova6164-0.18-0.320.14-0.273-252815.016.0-1.0316.913.03.89
Brandon Knight5155-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-171214.816.0-1.2416.914.02.90
Caron Butler3233-0.27-0.23-0.040.38-220-2216.114.91.2613.217.0-3.83
O.J. Mayo3435-0.30-0.20-0.090.47-264-3016.814.42.3713.916.7-2.80
John Henson3536-0.42-0.08-0.340.26-231-2416.214.81.4013.716.8-3.06
Giannis Antetokounmpo6366-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.05-13-9-415.115.9-0.7915.815.40.34
Khris Middleton6668-0.47-0.03-0.450.26-253-2815.514.90.5916.114.61.43

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valanciunas66640.53-0.030.56-0.1423-12414.218.9-4.6714.716.7-1.93
Kyle Lowry61580.410.090.32-0.03157815.316.3-1.0014.816.2-1.37
Terrence Ross53510.390.110.28-0.4930-83814.716.9-2.2016.414.02.38
John Salmons52490.370.130.25-0.101661016.215.01.1116.114.41.68
Patrick Patterson50470.270.230.04-0.352112014.816.6-1.8816.014.61.34
DeMar DeRozan63590.250.250.01-0.13139416.514.02.4915.215.6-0.44
Amir Johnson37350.180.32-0.140.04517-1218.114.14.0715.315.30.01
Greivis Vasquez38380.070.43-0.36-0.08517-1216.415.11.2816.314.61.64
Charles Hayes27260.020.48-0.46-0.04220-1818.014.73.2317.114.62.48
Steve Novak10100.000.50-0.500.21-729-3614.115.8-1.7411.315.8-4.50
Landry Fields10100.000.50-0.500.21-729-3614.115.8-1.7411.315.8-4.50
Austin Daye880.000.50-0.500.18-628-3413.215.9-2.629.115.9-6.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 95, BOS 1160.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIA 80, OKC 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
POR 85, UTA 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%