NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	83		Excitement	4.0 [1022]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +10.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.2 [894]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -13.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	16	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	14	34%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	12	24%	-0.05	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	19	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	10	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	9	21%	-0.08	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.2	30.6	14.8	28.2	2.4	33.3	133.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +47.8%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +3.5%

CHA -3.1%

CHA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.4	83.8	92.0	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	16.1	13.7	12.3	14.3
PHI	11.6	13.4	15.1	19.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-21	33	13.8	14.7	-0.91	17.3	13.0	4.31
Melvin Ely	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-15	21	11.8	14.9	-3.04	19.3	13.6	5.75
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	15.2	14.1	1.10	14.1	14.7	-0.69
Primoz Brezec	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-12	15	12.6	15.2	-2.60	17.4	13.3	4.14
Matt Carroll	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.3	14.3	0.07	15.0	13.5	1.57
Jeff McInnis	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	14.9	13.8	1.11	13.4	15.8	-2.43
Raymond Felton	81	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	14.4	13.8	0.67	14.7	14.2	0.53
Adam Morrison	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	14.4	14.3	0.08	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Emeka Okafor	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	3	-15	14.8	13.5	1.25	13.5	16.7	-3.24
Gerald Wallace	66	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	14	-37	14.9	13.2	1.76	12.7	18.7	-6.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	92	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	14.2	19.9	-5.71	14.6	12.3	2.25
Andre Miller	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Kyle Korver	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-2	13	13.6	15.6	-2.00	13.9	14.8	-0.94
Rodney Carney	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	0	9	13.6	16.0	-2.42	14.8	13.7	1.15
Samuel Dalembert	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	15.6	12.8	2.81	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Steven Hunter	60	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	4	1	13.8	15.9	-2.13	14.8	13.7	1.09
Joe Smith	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	11	-13	16.8	13.3	3.58	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Willie Green	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	15	-21	16.1	13.7	2.36	14.8	14.0	0.74
Lou Williams	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	9	-9	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.7	14.2	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, NYK 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 85, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%