NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	4.1 [978]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): +9.1%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.2 [583]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -13.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	74%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	89%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	18	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	18	57%	0.07	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	8	89%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	16	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	11	82%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	13	77%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	30.2	15.4	25.6	2.5	40.2	139.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.0%

ATL -2.9%

NYK +8.7%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.6	112.9	108.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.5		99.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.9	15.0	13.6	15.2
ATL	15.6	14.8	19.3	14.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	70	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-12	29	14.2	18.0	-3.73	16.3	14.9	1.42
Latrell Sprewell	82	80	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	15.1	15.6	-0.55	16.0	15.8	0.18
Kurt Thomas	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-2	9	14.0	18.9	-4.92	16.2	15.4	0.73
Allan Houston	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	14.5	17.7	-3.18	15.5	18.0	-2.47
Marcus Camby	69	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	4	-3	14.3	17.5	-3.22	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Othella Harrington	37	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	6	-7	18.8	12.7	6.03	17.0	15.4	1.63
Travis Knight	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.00	4	1	3	16.7	15.0	1.75	18.4	15.7	2.72
Shandon Anderson	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	9	-13	16.6	14.4	2.24	16.5	15.8	0.70
Howard Eisley	23	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	17	-29	18.0	14.2	3.73	14.9	16.3	-1.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-15	25	12.9	16.6	-3.65	10.4	16.0	-5.64
DerMarr Johnson	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-1	-3	18.4	15.7	2.72	16.7	15.0	1.75
Emanual Davis	29	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.5	15.0	0.47
Cal Bowdler	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	17.9	15.5	2.44	16.0	14.9	1.07
Toni Kukoc	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	16.9	14.8	2.02	16.4	13.4	3.04
Dion Glover	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-9	13	15.6	17.0	-1.48	14.3	17.0	-2.70
Jason Terry	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	15.2	17.5	-2.29	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Nazr Mohammed	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.6	17.4	-1.80	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Jacque Vaughn	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	16.4	15.1	1.24	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	10	-25	16.6	12.9	3.65	16.0	10.7	5.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NOH 70	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
WAS 110, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0	95.4%
DET 92, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.2%