NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	4.8 [875]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +21.2%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.2 [571]		LVP	Bobby Brown (SAC): -7.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21	0.18	0.08	0.04	21	63%	0.24	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	25	58%	0.17	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.14	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.03	0.06	11	86%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	71%	0.13	3	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	16	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	24.5	15.6	28.2	1.7	40.0	136.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.9%

WAS +4.8%

WAS +13.8%

SAC -0.8%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	13.4	15.5	112.2	111.5	106.4
season	15.9	15.0		103.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		112.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	15.9	15.4	17.2	16.2
SAC	14.3	14.1	13.4	12.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	77	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-9	21	16.1	16.6	-0.52	13.7	12.5	1.13
Antawn Jamison	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-8	19	16.2	16.1	0.10	13.7	11.9	1.86
Caron Butler	90	88	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	16.2	15.9	0.37	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Dominic McGuire	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-7	17	16.3	15.9	0.45	13.5	13.1	0.45
Andray Blatche	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	-3	9	15.9	16.6	-0.70	13.7	13.1	0.56
Darius Songaila	42	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	10	-17	16.7	15.8	0.92	13.2	13.6	-0.38
JaVale McGee	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	8	-13	16.4	16.2	0.20	12.5	13.8	-1.28
Nick Young	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	10	-17	15.4	16.5	-1.11	13.3	13.5	-0.25
Javaris Crittenton	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	12	-21	16.6	16.1	0.52	12.5	13.7	-1.13

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	14.1	13.3	0.73	14.6	16.4	-1.86
Bobby Brown	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-2	1	14.8	13.2	1.60	16.3	16.2	0.10
Shelden Williams	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-10	17	13.3	13.5	-0.27	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Jason Thompson	42	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	0	-3	13.5	13.4	0.05	17.2	15.4	1.78
Francisco Garcia	38	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	13.6	13.3	0.26	13.8	17.8	-3.99
Spencer Hawes	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	7	-17	14.3	12.6	1.69	15.5	16.8	-1.26
Brad Miller	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	0	-3	12.9	13.9	-1.05	17.7	14.9	2.81
Kevin Martin	81	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	13.2	14.5	-1.29	16.5	14.4	2.14
Beno Udrih	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	13.2	14.8	-1.60	16.2	16.3	-0.10
John Salmons	83	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	13.3	14.1	-0.73	16.4	14.6	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NOH 70	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 96, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DAL 101, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.5%