NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	3.7 [1038]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +10.1%
Golden State Warriors	83		Comeback	1.0 [1224]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -14.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	9	87%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	62%	0.08	3	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	33%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.19	-0.02	-0.06	15	38%	-0.07	5	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.8	30.8	16.8	27.8	2.6	30.4	138.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.5%

POR +3.1%

GSW -2.4%

POR +16.0%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.2	109.1	93.3	101.7
season	15.9	14.7		105.9	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.7		105.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	15.6	15.0	17.0	16.0
GSW	17.7	15.1	17.0	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.19	29	-16	45	15.7	17.1	-1.41	16.9	15.5	1.41
Scottie Pippen	69	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-12	37	15.8	16.9	-1.11	17.7	11.6	6.02
Jermaine O'Neal	57	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-7	27	16.0	16.1	-0.11	16.6	16.3	0.34
Rasheed Wallace	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	16.4	14.7	1.71	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Steven Smith	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.9	16.3	-0.45	16.6	16.3	0.26
Bonzi Wells	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.20	-3	16	-19	15.9	16.1	-0.18	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Antonio Harvey	27	28	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	17	-21	15.0	16.5	-1.42	16.2	16.7	-0.49
Stacey Augmon	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	16.4	16.0	0.43	11.1	17.1	-6.01
Detlef Schrempf	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	24	-35	17.0	15.5	1.49	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Greg Anthony	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.31	-16	29	-45	17.1	15.7	1.41	15.5	16.9	-1.41

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-17	21	16.6	16.5	0.08	18.5	15.3	3.19
Tony Farmer	50	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-15	17	14.7	18.8	-4.10	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Mark Davis	31	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-12	11	16.4	16.6	-0.25	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Sam Jacobson	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-9	5	16.1	16.6	-0.45	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Mookie Blaylock	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-7	1	16.2	17.0	-0.79	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Vonteego Cummings	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-6	-1	16.1	17.0	-0.86	16.1	15.9	0.18
Adonal Foyle	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	1	-15	18.5	15.6	2.84	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Jason Caffey	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	17.6	14.9	2.74	16.3	15.6	0.70
Larry Hughes	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	16.4	17.6	-1.23	16.4	13.5	2.83
Donyell Marshall	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	0	-13	17.0	14.9	2.09	16.1	15.7	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
PHX 106, DET 73	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%