NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	5.1 [784]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +10.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.4 [820]		LVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): -15.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	17	58%	0.08	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	9	42%	-0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	7	42%	-0.02	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	14	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	19	56%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	60%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	18	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	0.07	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	41.7	1.8	26.3	15.6	29.2	1.7	25.3	141.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +16.2%

SEA +9.1%

SEA +1.1%

SEA +20.2%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	15.6	15.6	94.2	115.1	102.3
season	16.8	16.0		100.9	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.3	18.2	18.1	17.9	17.9
SEA	14.7	16.1	14.0	18.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-22	26	17.5	18.0	-0.48	15.9	15.5	0.34
Eddie Griffin	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-17	16	17.0	18.9	-1.99	16.5	14.5	2.05
Oscar Torres	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-12	6	16.9	19.0	-2.08	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-9	0	18.1	16.8	1.30	16.4	12.8	3.58
Kelvin Cato	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-12	6	17.6	18.0	-0.45	14.3	16.3	-1.99
Glen Rice	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-4	-10	19.0	16.9	2.13	16.1	15.2	0.96
Kevin Willis	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-6	-6	19.2	16.9	2.28	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Walt Williams	62	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	4	-26	17.6	18.6	-1.00	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Moochie Norris	76	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.06	-24	6	-30	18.0	16.9	1.09	15.4	17.6	-2.15

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	51	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.12	27	-9	36	14.8	16.9	-2.12	18.2	17.4	0.78
Gary Payton	83	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	0	18	15.7	12.3	3.41	17.4	27.5	-10.11
Rashard Lewis	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-3	24	15.4	22.7	-7.29	17.8	20.3	-2.56
Calvin Booth	46	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	3	12	14.3	17.1	-2.75	17.9	17.8	0.06
Brent Barry	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	4	10	15.8	14.7	1.12	18.0	16.7	1.29
Predrag Drobnjak	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	20	-22	16.2	15.4	0.82	18.6	17.5	1.15
Shammond Williams	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	15	-12	14.6	15.8	-1.16	19.5	17.6	1.93
Earl Watson	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	18	-18	18.4	14.3	4.05	17.3	18.1	-0.85
Art Long	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	19	-20	16.9	15.3	1.64	17.8	17.9	-0.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	23	-28	15.5	15.6	-0.14	17.0	18.0	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
UTA 70, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%