NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	3.7 [1051]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +7.7%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	1.4 [1243]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	71%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	16	39%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.07	5	-0.09	8	87%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	63%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	14	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.05	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	30.5	16.6	30.0	1.8	30.0	136.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.6%

SAS +3.6%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +4.5%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.6	94.6	117.0	102.3
season	15.5	15.8		99.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		98.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	16.0	15.3	16.9	16.3
SAS	12.5	14.6	17.4	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-21	20	10.6	17.5	-6.96	13.8	14.6	-0.82
Chris Crawford	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-16	10	17.4	16.1	1.31	12.5	15.0	-2.46
Jason Terry	43	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-20	18	18.8	14.2	4.68	15.2	13.8	1.41
Cal Bowdler	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-14	6	15.2	17.4	-2.26	15.2	13.9	1.30
Jacque Vaughn	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-17	12	15.2	17.4	-2.21	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Emanual Davis	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-5	-12	17.4	15.2	2.21	14.7	14.2	0.45
Hanno Mottola	73	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-14	6	17.0	13.9	3.02	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Dion Glover	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.26	-21	-1	-20	15.3	17.5	-2.25	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Toni Kukoc	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-6	-10	16.0	17.2	-1.27	14.7	13.9	0.81
Nazr Mohammed	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.34	-26	4	-30	17.1	14.9	2.14	14.4	14.6	-0.11

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	2	18	15.6	13.7	1.92	20.6	13.4	7.24
Steven Smith	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	0	22	14.2	14.9	-0.68	17.4	15.1	2.29
Antonio Daniels	62	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	1	20	14.0	15.5	-1.53	15.5	18.0	-2.51
Tony Parker	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	1	20	14.3	15.1	-0.79	16.7	14.8	1.94
Tim Duncan	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	9	4	14.4	15.0	-0.62	16.6	14.7	1.89
Terry Porter	36	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	13	-4	14.3	14.6	-0.25	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Malik Rose	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	19	-16	14.4	14.5	-0.07	13.9	17.8	-3.86
Danny Ferry	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	21	-20	16.4	13.9	2.51	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Amal McCaskill	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	19	-16	13.8	14.7	-0.88	12.9	17.4	-4.47
Cherokee Parks	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	17	-12	13.1	14.7	-1.64	14.2	16.7	-2.43
Stephen Jackson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	13.7	14.6	-0.88	10.9	16.9	-6.02
Bruce Bowen	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	31	-40	15.6	14.0	1.64	18.7	15.2	3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,1,1	96.2%
NJN 78, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHA 94, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%