NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	3.3 [1143]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +9.0%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.5 [992]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -21.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.06	20	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	6	79%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	15	41%	0.01	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.23	-0.01	-0.03	14	17%	-0.13	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	64%	0.13	4	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	7	45%	0.02	1	0.00	6	50%	0.01
Robert Whaley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.01	0.06	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	17	45%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.2	15.7	24.3	2.5	36.2	131.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.9%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +2.1%

UTA +12.8%

NJN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.6	85.7	95.7	104.4
season	15.7	17.0		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.1	14.6	17.6	11.2	14.7
UTA	15.2	16.0	17.6	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	2	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	9.0	14.8	-5.81	12.2	16.8	-4.55
Zoran Planinic	14	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-10	9	18.6	14.0	4.60	17.0	16.5	0.48
Scott Padgett	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-9	7	16.2	14.5	1.71	16.7	16.6	0.10
Jason Collins	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-1	-9	15.7	13.8	1.87	15.7	17.4	-1.66
Clifford Robinson	52	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-10	9	13.6	16.2	-2.58	16.9	16.2	0.62
Jacque Vaughn	36	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	13.7	15.3	-1.63	15.5	17.4	-1.96
Vince Carter	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	15.5	13.6	1.94	17.2	15.9	1.28
Jason Kidd	83	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-2	-7	14.3	18.6	-4.32	16.4	18.1	-1.70
Nenad Krstic	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-5	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.27	17.1	14.3	2.78
Richard Jefferson	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	14.6	15.6	-1.03	17.0	13.0	3.99

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	83	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.09	18	-7	25	16.2	20.1	-3.92	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Mehmet Okur	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	17.1	8.2	8.88	14.4	20.0	-5.56
Devin Brown	59	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	3	5	16.4	16.9	-0.49	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Jarron Collins	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	0	11	16.5	16.8	-0.38	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Keith McLeod	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	0	11	16.7	16.5	0.12	16.7	13.0	3.73
Milt Palacio	52	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	11	-11	16.2	17.1	-0.84	13.0	16.7	-3.73
Deron Williams	21	22	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	4	3	14.7	17.2	-2.50	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Gordan Giricek	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	8	-5	16.9	16.4	0.49	16.1	13.8	2.28
Greg Ostertag	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	14	-17	23.0	15.7	7.26	15.7	14.6	1.14
Robert Whaley	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.06	-4	15	-19	15.0	16.7	-1.66	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Kris Humphries	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	19	-27	16.1	16.7	-0.56	16.7	14.3	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 97, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 97, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%