NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	4.5 [896]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +9.9%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.5 [854]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -11.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.02	-0.07	22	52%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	0.01	-0.05	19	34%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	-0.00	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	15	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	26.2	14.8	35.2	2.7	33.6	136.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.3%

PHX +7.1%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +26.5%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	15.6	108.1	105.2	102.3
season	15.1	14.7		101.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	16.2	14.9	16.0	15.0
GSW	16.6	14.3	13.3	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-10	26	14.2	19.5	-5.28	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Jake Tsakalidis	56	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.04	20	-14	34	15.1	14.8	0.27	16.1	12.3	3.80
Anfernee Hardaway	81	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-11	28	14.5	17.3	-2.86	15.2	11.8	3.33
Shawn Marion	87	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.7	16.7	-2.00	14.6	14.4	0.14
Tom Gugliotta	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	0	6	13.8	16.8	-2.94	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Rodney Rogers	49	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	15.7	14.3	1.39	14.0	15.1	-1.17
Tony Delk	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	11	-16	18.7	14.4	4.26	12.2	14.9	-2.71
Jake Voskuhl	22	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	12	-18	15.0	15.0	-0.05	11.8	15.2	-3.43
John Wallace	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	14	-22	17.2	14.3	2.84	14.7	14.5	0.26
Charlie Bell	20	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.31	-16	22	-38	18.0	14.2	3.83	13.5	14.8	-1.27

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	13.7	14.6	-0.86	19.4	14.6	4.77
Mookie Blaylock	42	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-20	34	14.0	15.0	-1.01	16.7	13.7	2.98
Chris Mills	43	44	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-18	30	13.0	15.8	-2.83	16.1	14.1	2.02
Adonal Foyle	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-13	20	14.8	14.4	0.33	17.9	13.7	4.18
Troy Murphy	51	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-15	24	14.0	15.2	-1.20	16.8	13.0	3.79
Jason Richardson	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-6	6	14.3	14.7	-0.32	16.8	14.0	2.84
Bob Sura	44	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	14.7	14.4	0.34	13.6	16.2	-2.54
Danny Fortson	45	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	9	-24	15.2	14.0	1.20	13.0	16.8	-3.79
Erick Dampier	51	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	11	-28	15.1	13.9	1.27	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Antawn Jamison	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	11	-28	15.1	13.4	1.66	13.5	18.3	-4.76
Larry Hughes	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	8	-22	14.9	13.7	1.22	14.0	17.2	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
NJN 102, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
HOU 97, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.9%