NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	6.1 [581]		MVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): +19.4%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	1.4 [351]		LVP	Eddie Gill (NJN): -12.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	-0.01	0.20	-0.01	14	54%	0.23	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.00	4	125%	0.25	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	18	60%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Goodrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	0.00	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.02	21	61%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.05	-0.00	12	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.11	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Jamel Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	25.5	15.5	22.3	1.7	32.7	122.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.8%

CHI +25.9%

CHI +12.0%

NJN -25.8%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.5	109.9	103.3	100.9
season	16.4	15.5		95.2	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.0	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	14.4	17.0	19.3	16.1
NJN	14.1	16.9	15.7	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	83	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Fred Hoiberg	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-7	20	15.3	19.9	-4.64	15.1	17.5	-2.38
A.J. Guyton	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	16.1	0.0	16.11	15.5	0.0	15.54
Marcus Fizer	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	5	-4	16.1	16.1	-0.06	16.5	14.5	2.01
Metta World Peace	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	16.3	15.4	0.91	14.8	18.3	-3.51
Steve Goodrich	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	5	-4	18.0	15.4	2.66	18.4	14.5	3.85
Brad Miller	42	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	16.1	16.1	0.06	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Corey Benjamin	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	16.0	16.1	-0.13	17.0	15.3	1.66
Dalibor Bagaric	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	13	-20	16.4	16.1	0.29	16.9	15.4	1.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	18	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-3	0	12.1	16.4	-4.34	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Jamel Thomas	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	18.0	15.3	2.70	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Evan Eschmeyer	52	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.7	16.7	-2.02	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Mark Strickland	30	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-6	6	17.7	14.5	3.17	16.7	15.8	0.94
Doug Overton	60	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-3	0	14.6	17.3	-2.66	15.7	16.9	-1.25
Eddie Gill	31	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-3	0	17.3	14.6	2.66	16.9	15.7	1.25
Stephen Jackson	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	15.5	15.6	-0.05	16.2	16.1	0.10
Keith Van Horn	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-7	8	15.2	18.6	-3.44	16.2	14.9	1.36
Lucious Harris	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-4	2	15.3	18.0	-2.70	16.2	15.1	1.05
Aaron Williams	49	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	17.1	13.7	3.34	15.9	16.3	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.6%
LAC 96, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%
SAS 95, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.1%