NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	4.8 [855]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +8.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.3 [431]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -9.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	16	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Omar Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	63%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	20	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	15%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.5	27.4	15.3	27.3	2.0	31.3	132.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.7%

POR +8.2%

POR +12.7%

MIN -6.9%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	19.4	16.3	15.7	113.6	103.8	100.5
season	17.1	15.6		101.5	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	21.9	18.5	22.0	19.4
MIN	16.7	18.1	16.6	14.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	67	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.03	24	-15	39	17.6	28.1	-10.53	16.6	14.9	1.78
Damon Stoudamire	78	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	2	5	19.6	14.7	4.95	15.9	24.5	-8.61
Zach Randolph	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	19.8	18.5	1.29	16.4	16.2	0.12
Darius Miles	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	3	3	19.4	19.5	-0.09	16.5	15.9	0.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	32	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	3	3	18.2	20.2	-2.01	16.8	16.0	0.76
Theo Ratliff	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	21.8	14.9	6.99	14.9	19.0	-4.17
Dale Davis	14	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	2	5	14.9	20.4	-5.53	20.7	15.2	5.53
Omar Cook	7	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	9	-9	23.4	19.1	4.37	20.2	15.8	4.39
Ruben Patterson	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	20	-31	20.5	18.7	1.83	15.0	17.2	-2.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oliver Miller	16	16	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.17	9	-18	27	15.6	16.5	-0.95	24.2	18.2	6.00
Gary Trent	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-10	11	16.4	16.3	0.04	20.4	19.2	1.17
Fred Hoiberg	27	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.1	17.5	-3.40	17.2	20.7	-3.52
Trenton Hassell	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	16.9	15.6	1.33	21.3	16.9	4.43
Michael Olowokandi	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	18.1	15.1	2.95	19.8	19.2	0.66
Sam Cassell	58	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-12	15	16.0	17.2	-1.24	20.5	16.4	4.05
Wally Szczerbiak	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	14.9	17.3	-2.41	16.6	21.3	-4.64
Latrell Sprewell	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	17.9	14.1	3.80	20.9	17.4	3.53
Troy Hudson	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	2	-13	16.8	16.0	0.86	16.0	21.7	-5.73
Mark Madsen	29	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	4	-17	14.6	17.3	-2.78	15.6	21.8	-6.13
Kevin Garnett	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	16.6	15.3	1.31	20.3	15.8	4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MEM 94, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.0%
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%