NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	4.8 [865]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +11.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	1.2 [540]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): -9.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	12	67%	0.18	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	15	51%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	44%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	7	41%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.01	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	10	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	17	42%	-0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	21	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.5	15.5	32.2	1.8	41.0	147.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.2%

MEM +18.3%

CHA -2.4%

MEM +6.4%

MEM +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	15.4	96.9	90.6	104.1
season	16.5	15.6		102.9	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	12.8	13.8	16.6	14.5
CHA	14.5	16.5	16.2	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-8	23	14.6	14.4	0.17	15.7	14.4	1.30
Mike Conley	65	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	14.1	15.4	-1.33	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Rudy Gay	56	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-4	15	13.9	15.4	-1.56	15.3	15.3	0.01
Zach Randolph	83	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	14.4	14.9	-0.48	14.6	20.0	-5.40
Tony Allen	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	12.9	17.1	-4.19	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Jerryd Bayless	42	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	7	-7	15.8	13.5	2.24	16.4	14.6	1.86
Quincy Pondexter	47	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	11	-15	16.1	13.0	3.13	14.2	16.3	-2.04
Marreese Speights	41	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	12	-17	14.8	14.3	0.42	16.3	14.7	1.55
Wayne Ellington	22	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	15.6	14.2	1.45	17.3	14.8	2.55

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-10	13	16.2	15.1	1.03	14.6	14.5	0.14
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-8	9	14.2	16.3	-2.12	15.9	13.4	2.50
Tyrus Thomas	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	17.5	14.5	3.02	15.5	14.2	1.35
Jeff Taylor	25	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	14.1	15.8	-1.69	13.8	14.8	-0.97
Reggie Williams	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.1	1.87	11.2	15.0	-3.88
Ramon Sessions	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.6	15.0	0.56	14.8	14.2	0.61
Bismack Biyombo	48	51	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-12	17	15.6	15.0	0.58	15.7	13.2	2.51
Brendan Haywood	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	8	-23	15.2	15.4	-0.25	13.1	15.5	-2.37
Ben Gordon	59	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.8	14.5	1.29	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Byron Mullens	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	14.5	17.5	-3.02	14.2	15.5	-1.35
Kemba Walker	84	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.67	14.5	14.7	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%