NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	3.3 [1157]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +14.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	1.2 [524]		LVP	Ha Seung-Jin (POR): -8.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	20	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.03	18	69%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	3	30%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	11	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.09	9	75%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	67%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	-0.09	7	19%	-0.07	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	0.8	28.8	15.6	23.2	1.8	28.1	126.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.1%

HOU +5.0%

HOU +15.6%

HOU +13.1%

HOU +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.5	106.4	86.6	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.2	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	14.8	17.5	16.2	15.7
POR	14.8	14.0	16.8	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	51	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	1	14	16.8	14.4	2.47	15.7	13.1	2.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	46	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	16.7	14.8	1.84	15.6	13.5	2.14
Bob Sura	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	4	8	15.9	15.5	0.46	15.2	13.6	1.60
Yao Ming	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	5	6	16.8	14.2	2.53	14.9	13.9	1.07
David Wesley	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	2	12	16.0	15.2	0.80	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Jon Barry	48	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	14.7	16.8	-2.14	13.8	15.2	-1.31
Dikembe Mutombo	39	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	11	-6	14.2	16.8	-2.53	13.9	14.9	-1.07
Mike James	43	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	12	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.46	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Scott Padgett	48	51	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	15	-14	14.8	16.7	-1.84	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Ryan Bowen	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	20	-24	14.3	16.2	-1.88	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Torraye Braggs	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	18.3	15.6	2.71	9.0	14.7	-5.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	46	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-18	20	13.3	15.5	-2.12	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Ha Seung-Jin	36	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-19	22	13.6	15.0	-1.31	13.9	16.6	-2.65
Viktor Khryapa	50	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-10	4	13.7	15.3	-1.62	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Travis Outlaw	62	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	14.0	15.2	-1.20	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Damon Stoudamire	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-3	-10	15.5	12.8	2.67	16.2	14.9	1.26
Sebastian Telfair	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-6	-4	14.1	15.2	-1.04	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Ruben Patterson	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-5	-6	15.3	13.5	1.82	16.3	15.0	1.31
Joel Przybilla	61	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	3	-22	15.0	13.6	1.31	16.6	13.9	2.65
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	0	-16	15.1	13.6	1.45	16.0	15.3	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%