NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	5.4 [713]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +9.0%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.3 [856]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -15.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	11	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	14	36%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	16	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	14	57%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Marcus Fizer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	13	45%	-0.05	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.3	27.4	15.4	21.5	2.3	33.5	123.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.9%

IND +0.4%

IND +29.6%

CHI -10.0%

IND +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.5	104.5	94.5	100.9
season	15.9	16.4		99.3	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		104.9	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	17.3	13.7	16.5	14.9
CHI	16.4	17.0	22.3	13.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	52	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.02	18	-11	29	14.3	15.8	-1.50	18.8	14.5	4.35
Jalen Rose	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-3	13	14.4	17.2	-2.87	17.5	15.5	1.95
Zan Tabak	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-7	21	13.6	16.9	-3.26	18.9	14.2	4.66
Jermaine O'Neal	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-2	11	14.1	16.5	-2.41	18.0	15.4	2.56
Travis Best	42	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-1	9	14.0	15.8	-1.81	19.9	14.8	5.15
Al Harrington	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	3	1	15.5	14.1	1.44	15.3	19.4	-4.01
Tyus Edney	31	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	17.6	13.4	4.20	13.3	19.3	-6.07
Jeff Foster	17	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.9	17.3	-1.40
Jonathan Bender	19	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	15	-23	17.4	14.2	3.19	15.3	17.6	-2.31
Austin Croshere	50	50	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.30	-13	20	-33	16.1	13.4	2.67	14.7	20.0	-5.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	16	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-12	17	17.7	16.9	0.83	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Steve Goodrich	21	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	16.9	17.1	-0.27	16.1	14.6	1.45
Corey Benjamin	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	17.7	16.8	0.90	16.9	14.2	2.69
Fred Hoiberg	70	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-5	3	16.9	17.5	-0.60	14.3	16.8	-2.42
A.J. Guyton	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-5	3	17.2	16.6	0.57	15.6	12.1	3.45
Marcus Fizer	57	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-4	1	15.7	19.3	-3.56	15.6	13.8	1.88
Elton Brand	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	0	-7	17.2	16.6	0.64	14.3	16.6	-2.35
Brad Miller	53	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	7	-21	18.3	15.4	2.91	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Metta World Peace	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	6	-19	16.8	18.5	-1.68	14.5	17.2	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
UTA 92, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MEM 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%