NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	4.9 [865]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +16.2%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	1.3 [562]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -11.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	21	67%	0.19	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	22	48%	0.12	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.04	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Singleton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	21	48%	0.03	1	-0.04	10	70%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	11	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	10	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	11	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	33.0	18.6	30.6	3.6	35.0	150.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.4%

DEN -3.7%

LAC +9.0%

DEN -11.5%

DEN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.6	116.7	95.6	104.4
season	15.2	14.4		103.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	13.5	17.4	20.1	16.1
DEN	14.6	16.5	16.1	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.11	24	-6	30	16.1	16.0	0.14	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Sam Cassell	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	1	16	16.4	15.3	1.12	15.6	16.1	-0.50
James Singleton	36	37	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	6	6	17.9	14.9	2.92	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	9	0	15.8	17.4	-1.66	15.9	14.9	1.04
Chris Kaman	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	9	0	15.9	16.8	-0.91	16.2	14.1	2.04
Chris Wilcox	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	16	-14	16.6	15.8	0.82	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Quinton Ross	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	12	-6	14.5	17.3	-2.78	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Shaun Livingston	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	13	-8	15.6	16.4	-0.79	16.3	15.3	0.97
Daniel Ewing	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	14	-10	17.3	15.7	1.59	16.2	15.6	0.68
Boniface N'Dong	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.5	16.2	-2.67	10.0	15.9	-5.91
Yaroslav Korolev	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.5	16.2	-2.67	10.0	15.9	-5.91

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	14.0	15.8	-1.79	20.3	16.0	4.37
Greg Buckner	34	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-13	8	16.8	15.1	1.72	15.9	16.2	-0.37
Eduardo Najera	47	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-16	14	15.8	15.6	0.19	17.0	15.1	1.95
Kenyon Martin	53	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-8	-2	16.2	15.1	1.14	16.4	15.7	0.70
Earl Boykins	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-12	6	15.5	16.0	-0.50	17.0	14.9	2.05
Marcus Camby	47	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-9	0	15.1	16.3	-1.21	14.6	17.5	-2.93
Andre Miller	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-11	4	16.0	14.9	1.14	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Earl Watson	45	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.18	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Francisco Elson	35	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-3	-12	15.7	15.7	-0.09	16.3	16.0	0.34
Carmelo Anthony	71	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.08	-23	5	-28	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.0	16.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0	95.0%
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
WAS 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.6%