NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	4.9 [807]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +6.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies	73		Comeback	1.4 [997]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): -15.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	26	52%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	20	44%	-0.00	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	32%	-0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	4	31%	-0.09	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	30.7	17.7	27.2	2.5	28.2	132.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.3%

UTA +6.5%

VAN -0.3%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	VAN	NBA	UTA	VAN	NBA
this game	16.7	17.0	15.5	107.0	85.9	100.9
season	16.0	15.6		105.3	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	17.9	11.6	22.6	16.7
VAN	15.7	16.4	18.4	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	66	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.21	29	-10	39	15.7	20.1	-4.50	17.6	15.0	2.58
Olden Polynice	52	50	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	1	17	14.0	20.8	-6.77	16.8	17.3	-0.55
Donyell Marshall	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	5	9	15.1	19.1	-3.95	18.1	15.2	2.95
Bryon Russell	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	1	17	16.3	17.7	-1.38	16.6	18.1	-1.49
Jacque Vaughn	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	13	-7	16.9	16.6	0.27	17.2	16.9	0.37
John Stockton	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	4	11	16.5	16.9	-0.39	17.2	16.7	0.48
John Starks	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	12	-5	18.9	13.8	5.07	17.0	17.0	-0.02
Scott Padgett	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	20	-21	16.3	16.7	-0.45	12.0	17.4	-5.44
John Crotty	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	18.0	16.7	1.33	8.5	17.2	-8.69
Quincy Lewis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	18.0	16.7	1.33	8.5	17.2	-8.69
Greg Ostertag	34	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	18	-17	20.8	14.0	6.77	17.3	16.8	0.55
Danny Manning	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	27	-35	20.4	15.7	4.67	15.7	17.3	-1.61

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-17	15	17.5	16.5	1.01	18.6	14.9	3.71
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-18	17	16.9	17.0	-0.08	23.3	15.5	7.79
Damon Jones	31	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-19	19	15.1	18.1	-2.98	18.1	15.9	2.24
Bryant Reeves	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-13	7	17.7	16.2	1.50	17.9	15.2	2.76
Stromile Swift	32	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-6	-7	16.5	17.3	-0.83	15.5	17.4	-1.87
Mike Bibby	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.14	-18	-1	-17	16.7	18.2	-1.56	16.1	19.1	-2.98
Michael Dickerson	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	1	-21	18.0	14.2	3.73	15.7	19.5	-3.86
Ike Austin	47	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.08	-14	-5	-9	16.3	17.9	-1.59	14.0	19.8	-5.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	2	-23	17.2	8.5	8.69	16.7	18.0	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, GSW 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 109, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
IND 93, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0	94.4%