NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	5.3 [737]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +6.7%
Golden State Warriors	69		Comeback	1.6 [954]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -21.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	20	52%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	0.04	11	48%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	11	40%	-0.04	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	87%	0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	26%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	23	46%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	10	10%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.05	-0.02	19	31%	-0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	0.8	27.9	14.7	26.2	1.7	28.2	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.8%

PHX +5.2%

PHX +4.0%

PHX +6.9%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	18.5	15.6	104.8	81.2	102.5
season	15.0	15.6		105.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.4	16.3	11.7	17.6	15.8
GSW	16.9	19.7	20.6	16.7	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	77	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.07	22	-4	26	14.8	28.0	-13.19	18.9	13.0	5.91
Steve Nash	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	1	16	16.8	13.8	3.02	17.7	19.9	-2.22
Hot Rod Williams	40	41	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	4	10	15.0	16.5	-1.51	18.4	18.6	-0.20
Danny Manning	41	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	6	6	17.6	14.0	3.56	16.9	20.1	-3.24
Rex Chapman	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	7	4	15.0	18.7	-3.71	18.6	18.0	0.64
Cedric Ceballos	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	14	-10	15.9	15.6	0.37	19.3	17.7	1.61
Antonio McDyess	56	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	11	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.14	18.9	17.4	1.49
Brooks Thompson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	18.5	15.7	2.81	11.7	18.7	-7.08
Mark Bryant	34	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	18	-18	16.1	15.5	0.56	19.5	17.8	1.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	2	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-15	12	16.0	18.6	-2.55	3.5	16.1	-12.56
Brian Shaw	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-10	2	18.7	18.1	0.66	15.0	17.1	-2.05
Felton Spencer	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-16	14	15.7	19.9	-4.26	16.7	15.3	1.50
Adonal Foyle	33	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-9	0	16.7	19.6	-2.89	18.2	14.3	3.94
Erick Dampier	53	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-6	-6	20.1	15.9	4.20	16.0	15.4	0.65
Tony Delk	29	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-8	-2	17.9	18.8	-0.85	16.8	15.3	1.47
Joe Smith	59	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-7	-4	19.7	15.7	4.09	14.9	17.5	-2.59
Donyell Marshall	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-4	-10	18.5	18.2	0.28	15.4	18.0	-2.62
Bimbo Coles	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	1	-20	18.0	20.1	-2.13	15.7	15.8	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, SAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
GSW 108, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
UTA 92, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%