NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.1 [556]		MVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): +14.7%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	2.6 [827]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -33.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	22	63%	0.23	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.04
Danny Manning	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.01	0.06	6	75%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	61%	0.01	5	-0.16	6	50%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	84%	0.19	1	-0.04	16	94%	0.07
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Guyton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	2	83%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.22	-0.14	-0.02	17	29%	-0.12	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	28.3	15.7	29.2	2.3	30.6	129.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.0%

CHI -4.1%

UTA +18.0%

UTA +11.9%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	18.0	15.5	110.6	98.8	100.9
season	16.0	16.4		105.3	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.9	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	15.8	14.0	18.8	16.1
CHI	18.0	16.9	18.0	19.1	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	71	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	16.0	16.6	-0.63	17.9	18.6	-0.76
John Starks	57	54	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	15.8	16.7	-0.84	18.3	17.5	0.79
Danny Manning	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	16.5	15.6	0.88	18.3	17.6	0.67
Bryon Russell	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	2	7	16.0	16.5	-0.47	18.3	17.1	1.25
John Stockton	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	2	7	16.2	15.9	0.30	18.2	17.6	0.60
Jacque Vaughn	37	37	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	16.8	15.6	1.23	17.8	18.1	-0.34
Greg Ostertag	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	9	-7	14.3	16.8	-2.49	17.5	18.1	-0.63
John Crotty	1	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	9	-7	6.0	16.2	-10.24	11.0	18.1	-7.15
David Benoit	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	9	-7	18.4	15.7	2.68	18.6	17.9	0.71
Donyell Marshall	36	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	15	-19	15.4	16.7	-1.31	17.0	18.7	-1.70
Olden Polynice	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	13	-15	17.2	15.6	1.60	18.1	17.9	0.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-13	15	18.1	17.9	0.22	18.2	15.3	2.88
Steve Goodrich	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-6	1	17.9	18.0	-0.12	14.0	17.1	-3.10
Jake Voskuhl	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	17.9	18.0	-0.10	17.3	15.1	2.20
Dalibor Bagaric	11	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	20.5	17.6	2.85	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Marcus Fizer	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	17.4	18.6	-1.19	15.5	16.8	-1.25
Metta World Peace	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-5	-1	17.8	18.3	-0.42	17.1	13.9	3.16
Elton Brand	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	18.0	18.0	-0.03	16.1	16.3	-0.20
A.J. Guyton	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	0	-11	18.0	17.9	0.05	15.6	18.7	-3.18
Fred Hoiberg	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	2	-15	18.1	17.3	0.72	16.0	17.1	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	93.3%
UTA 111, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.01,0	93.2%
CHI 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%