NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	6.5 [514]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +36.0%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	2.4 [240]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.27	0.13	0.03	13	100%	0.39	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	18	65%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	14	58%	0.18	3	-0.12	8	62%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.03	0.03	12	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Keith McLeod	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	9	82%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	17	58%	0.14	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.05
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	17	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	18	47%	0.07	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.1	15.8	25.0	2.4	32.7	128.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.3%

ATL -2.3%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +11.8%

ATL -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.6	120.7	112.2	104.4
season	17.0	15.6		101.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	14.3	18.2	20.0	16.8
ATL	14.9	15.7	14.5	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	67	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-2	14	15.9	19.0	-3.02	15.0	14.6	0.31
Mehmet Okur	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-1	12	17.0	15.6	1.44	15.1	13.9	1.21
Jarron Collins	37	37	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-2	14	18.4	15.7	2.71	15.4	14.5	0.91
Matt Harpring	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-2	14	17.5	14.5	2.97	15.0	14.3	0.70
Andrei Kirilenko	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	5	0	16.5	19.0	-2.54	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Carlos Boozer	66	64	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	10	-10	15.3	20.5	-5.16	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Devin Brown	39	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	10	-10	16.5	16.9	-0.39	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Keith McLeod	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	12	-14	19.0	15.9	3.02	14.6	15.0	-0.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	40	41	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-18	26	15.2	14.6	0.64	16.2	17.2	-0.93
Esteban Batista	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	12.5	15.1	-2.60	16.0	16.8	-0.84
Salim Stoudamire	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	13.5	15.8	-2.28	16.2	17.1	-0.91
Marvin Williams	22	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	14.3	15.1	-0.79	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Josh Smith	74	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	14.9	14.9	-0.09	17.2	14.8	2.36
Al Harrington	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-5	0	14.9	14.3	0.62	16.6	18.0	-1.44
Joe Johnson	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-6	2	15.1	12.9	2.21	17.4	12.7	4.71
Zaza Pachulia	69	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	15.4	13.2	2.19	16.3	18.2	-1.90
Josh Childress	43	45	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	8	-26	15.0	14.7	0.30	17.6	16.0	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 105, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	93.2%
UTA 94, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0	93.2%
POR 122, NOP 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%