NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	4.6 [875]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +26.0%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	2.0 [1019]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -15.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	21	56%	0.08	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	11	18%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.02	19	75%	0.29	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	75%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	25.4	15.5	33.3	2.5	26.4	127.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.7%

CHI -0.3%

CHI -8.6%

TOR +12.8%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.5	93.6	107.5	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		95.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.5	16.7	15.3	16.2	16.1
TOR	14.2	15.3	11.8	18.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	45	44	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-18	24	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.8	14.5	0.33
Dalibor Bagaric	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	15.8	16.2	-0.35	17.1	14.4	2.73
Jamal Crawford	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-14	16	16.0	16.7	-0.73	14.9	13.6	1.30
Brad Miller	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-13	14	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.1	13.8	1.27
A.J. Guyton	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-2	-8	16.3	16.0	0.35	16.3	13.2	3.05
Corey Benjamin	11	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-1	-10	17.9	15.9	2.02	9.9	15.3	-5.40
Steve Goodrich	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-9	6	15.5	16.6	-1.05	16.0	13.6	2.39
Jake Voskuhl	25	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	6	-24	17.7	15.6	2.11	14.0	14.9	-0.83
Elton Brand	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-1	-10	16.0	16.6	-0.52	13.8	19.6	-5.77
Fred Hoiberg	75	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	5	-22	16.2	15.7	0.49	13.8	18.4	-4.68

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-8	28	14.7	14.2	0.46	16.5	12.8	3.70
Charles Oakley	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	1	10	14.5	15.2	-0.62	16.2	15.7	0.50
Antonio Davis	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-7	26	14.2	16.3	-2.07	16.4	15.1	1.31
Alvin Williams	70	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	6	0	14.3	15.7	-1.31	15.7	17.2	-1.46
Jerome Williams	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	7	-2	17.2	13.5	3.74	16.4	16.0	0.45
Dell Curry	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	8	-4	14.2	14.9	-0.70	15.9	16.2	-0.39
Chris Childs	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	10	-8	16.2	13.8	2.44	16.6	15.8	0.81
Morris Peterson	39	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	13.1	15.8	-2.69	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Keon Clark	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	18	-24	15.2	14.4	0.73	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Eric Montross	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	12.0	14.8	-2.76	12.0	16.3	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 72, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 94, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%