NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	4.4 [924]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +10.4%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.6 [1222]		LVP	DeJuan Blair (SAS): -8.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	-0.04	0.08	17	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Terrence Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.05	0.00	17	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	11	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	70%	0.16	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	6	94%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	8	44%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.5	30.5	14.7	24.7	1.8	31.2	127.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +26.2%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +15.3%

NJN -4.4%

SAS +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.3	94.4	111.5	106.0
season	15.9	15.9		98.7	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.8	16.1	17.9	16.2	16.7
SAS	14.4	14.5	17.2	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	12	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	16.4	16.8	-0.35	9.9	16.6	-6.67
Chris Douglas-Roberts	72	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-14	16	16.5	17.7	-1.25	16.0	14.9	1.06
Terrence Williams	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-5	-2	16.7	16.7	-0.06	13.4	16.2	-2.85
Chris Quinn	23	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.14	-13	1	-14	15.9	17.0	-1.09	14.5	16.2	-1.75
Josh Boone	21	18	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	1	-14	16.5	16.8	-0.26	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Courtney Lee	70	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-8	4	16.8	16.3	0.48	15.9	15.6	0.23
Yi Jianlian	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-8	4	16.5	17.4	-0.86	16.3	13.9	2.35
Keyon Dooling	67	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-13	14	17.0	15.9	1.09	16.2	14.5	1.75
Brook Lopez	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-9	6	17.1	14.4	2.72	16.3	12.6	3.74
Jarvis Hayes	28	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	4	-20	16.7	16.7	0.04	16.1	15.7	0.44

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	44	46	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-1	14	15.6	16.0	-0.34	16.8	16.7	0.12
Manu Ginobili	46	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.04	16	-4	20	16.3	15.3	1.01	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	49	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	7	-2	14.7	17.3	-2.59	17.4	15.9	1.46
Tim Duncan	49	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	1	10	15.7	15.9	-0.25	17.1	16.3	0.78
Roger Mason Jr.	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	3	6	15.1	16.4	-1.30	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Antonio McDyess	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	4	4	17.0	14.8	2.17	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Tony Parker	51	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	8	-4	16.5	14.9	1.56	17.0	16.3	0.68
Ian Mahinmi	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	11	-10	15.9	15.7	0.25	16.3	17.1	-0.78
DeJuan Blair	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	14	-16	15.4	16.0	-0.64	16.8	16.7	0.17
Marcus Haislip	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	10	-8	15.2	15.8	-0.64	12.7	16.9	-4.16
Keith Bogans	45	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	19	-26	15.9	15.7	0.22	16.7	16.7	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 97, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 101, GSW 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%