NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	4.8 [890]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +23.4%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	1.6 [1139]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -11.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	41%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	62%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	14	53%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.06	0.00	20	68%	0.24	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	5	85%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	7	76%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	58%	0.09	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.4	23.6	15.3	31.4	0.8	31.2	129.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +70.2%

MIN -4.9%

MIN -2.4%

MIN -12.6%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	11.5	14.7	93.5	115.7	107.5
season	15.3	13.7		111.8	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.4		105.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	15.4	15.9	15.0	15.2
GSW	10.7	12.3	8.6	15.0	11.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	9.7	15.5	-5.85	19.3	11.0	8.32
Marcus Georges-Hunt	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	12.0	15.3	-3.32	20.6	11.0	9.57
Tyus Jones	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-20	16	15.2	15.2	-0.04	13.0	10.9	2.04
Shabazz Muhammad	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.19	-9	-15	6	16.5	14.7	1.85	13.4	10.7	2.64
Karl-Anthony Towns	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-19	14	15.5	14.8	0.65	11.9	10.9	1.04
Nemanja Bjelica	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-15	6	15.0	15.3	-0.24	10.5	11.9	-1.46
Taj Gibson	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-21	18	14.8	15.7	-0.97	11.7	11.1	0.57
Jimmy Butler	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	-8	-8	15.8	14.1	1.72	11.3	11.7	-0.42
Gorgui Dieng	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.23	-19	-5	-14	14.8	15.5	-0.65	10.9	11.9	-1.04
Jamal Crawford	42	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-6	-12	15.8	14.8	1.01	9.9	12.5	-2.53
Andrew Wiggins	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-8	-8	14.8	16.2	-1.41	10.7	13.2	-2.53
Jeff Teague	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	-4	-16	15.2	15.2	0.04	10.9	13.0	-2.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	8	8	10.1	14.1	-4.05	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Draymond Green	63	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	9	6	10.4	13.0	-2.62	15.4	15.0	0.40
Klay Thompson	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	10	4	11.2	11.9	-0.70	16.4	12.6	3.85
JaVale McGee	23	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	9	6	8.6	12.3	-3.69	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Shaun Livingston	42	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.27	17	7	10	9.8	12.6	-2.80	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Nick Young	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	15	-6	12.8	10.4	2.35	13.5	16.5	-3.05
Andre Iguodala	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	21	-18	10.7	12.1	-1.40	15.9	14.7	1.21
Zaza Pachulia	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	21	-18	10.3	12.0	-1.71	16.3	14.7	1.65
Patrick McCaw	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.27	12	12	0	14.5	10.1	4.34	15.9	14.9	1.07
Omri Casspi	44	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	15	-6	12.6	10.7	1.93	14.7	15.5	-0.86
David West	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	17	-10	12.0	11.3	0.64	17.2	14.5	2.65
Jordan Bell	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	19.3	10.6	8.69	11.8	15.5	-3.74
Kevon Looney	23	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	25	-26	15.3	10.4	4.92	13.4	15.7	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MEM 96, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 70, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%