NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	4.1 [1002]		MVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): +12.8%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.6 [509]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -14.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	11	70%	0.07	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	12	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	23	57%	0.09	6	-0.14	8	87%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.05	14	69%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	73%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	17	45%	0.07	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.0	14.8	30.3	2.4	30.2	129.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.3%

GSW +8.1%

UTA -17.9%

GSW +18.4%

UTA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	13.4	15.5	100.0	122.1	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.7	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		111.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	18.4	17.2	14.8	16.8
GSW	13.3	13.5	12.0	14.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	12.0	17.1	-5.09	17.4	13.0	4.38
Morris Almond	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	12.0	17.1	-5.09	17.4	13.0	4.38
Kosta Koufos	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	12.0	17.1	-5.09	17.4	13.0	4.38
CJ Miles	61	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-23	26	16.9	16.6	0.27	13.9	12.5	1.40
Paul Millsap	73	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-15	10	17.2	15.5	1.64	13.4	13.3	0.14
Deron Williams	77	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-9	-2	16.6	17.6	-1.01	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Matt Harpring	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	-7	-6	18.4	16.1	2.33	12.7	13.6	-0.88
Ronnie Price	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-11	2	17.6	16.6	1.01	14.0	13.2	0.78
Kyle Korver	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	3	-26	17.1	16.2	0.90	12.8	14.3	-1.50
Ronnie Brewer	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	1	-22	16.7	17.0	-0.25	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Mehmet Okur	72	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.20	-27	7	-34	16.6	17.2	-0.53	12.9	14.6	-1.73

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	62	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.17	25	-5	30	13.2	13.6	-0.36	17.7	15.0	2.65
Monta Ellis	61	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	4	12	12.6	14.7	-2.13	17.3	15.8	1.50
Stephen Jackson	82	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.13	21	-1	22	13.1	14.8	-1.71	17.2	14.0	3.17
Ronny Turiaf	73	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.13	19	1	18	12.9	14.8	-1.83	16.4	17.9	-1.48
Jamal Crawford	69	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	13	-6	13.3	13.5	-0.13	17.1	16.0	1.11
Kelenna Azubuike	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	14	-8	13.6	13.0	0.57	15.5	18.7	-3.24
Anthony Randolph	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	19	-18	14.8	12.9	1.83	17.9	16.4	1.48
CJ Watson	43	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	15	-10	14.3	12.6	1.66	15.8	17.5	-1.67
Anthony Morrow	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	17.3	13.1	4.23	10.8	17.1	-6.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, GSW 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHX 106, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.7%
NYK 84, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%