inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement5.2 [793] MVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): +22.0%
Miami Heat 108 Comeback1.7 [1042] LVPMario Hezonja (ORL): -10.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.01-0.011276%0.152-0.031100%0.00
Elfrid Payton0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.01964%0.154-0.10450%-0.00
Shabazz Napier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.020.000.00160%0.0200.00333%-0.00
CJ Watson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Devyn Marble-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.020.03753%0.001-0.03580%-0.01
Evan Fournier-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.010.011748%0.032-0.06887%0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02742%-0.032-0.03540%-0.02
Aaron Gordon-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02729%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jason Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.001036%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Mario Hezonja-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.011136%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.160.02-0.051570%0.241-0.02786%0.02
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.04-0.02974%0.191-0.031100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.040.01776%0.1300.00333%-0.04
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.031367%0.105-0.11743%-0.04
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.020.02942%-0.0100.00887%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.031336%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.02-0.03629%-0.042-0.02560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.532.214.825.21.731.4133.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +35.2%
MIA +7.8%
MIA +1.5%
MIA +8.0%
ORL -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game14.415.414.9101.0111.3105.1
season14.615.5103.6104.5
opponent15.114.9103.1105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.515.115.311.714.4
MIA15.214.913.518.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shabazz Napier540.00-0.500.50-0.124-151910.014.6-4.6417.015.41.62
Dewayne Dedmon3536-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-8515.913.62.3016.015.10.93
Andrew Nicholson3535-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-111113.514.9-1.4316.814.72.17
CJ Watson4140-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-10913.914.8-0.9014.616.0-1.39
Jason Smith2423-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-2-714.014.5-0.5312.916.2-3.32
Elfrid Payton6667-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-4-314.614.00.6216.513.03.54
Devyn Marble2827-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-8514.214.5-0.2615.015.6-0.56
Brandon Jennings3435-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-3-514.314.5-0.2014.416.0-1.68
Evan Fournier7274-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-9-2-714.314.7-0.4215.216.2-0.96
Aaron Gordon6972-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-3-514.314.7-0.3815.216.0-0.80
Mario Hezonja7172-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-110-1115.012.62.4315.714.61.19

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson67670.61-0.110.710.2014-31715.116.2-1.1014.015.2-1.16
Justise Winslow73720.450.050.400.2183515.216.1-0.9114.015.7-1.75
Hassan Whiteside59600.360.140.230.1092715.515.40.1214.114.8-0.66
Joe Johnson53510.280.220.060.0583515.016.0-1.0614.913.81.08
Dwyane Wade50500.270.230.040.0965115.615.30.2815.113.71.43
Luol Deng69690.250.25-0.010.1638-515.814.51.3814.514.20.24
Amar'e Stoudemire31300.160.34-0.180.0156-115.815.30.4916.313.52.72
Goran Dragic73700.130.37-0.25-0.0565115.615.00.5314.614.00.60
Udonis Haslem330.000.50-0.500.00011-1115.715.40.237.714.6-6.95
Josh McRoberts330.000.50-0.500.00011-1115.715.40.237.714.6-6.95
Gerald Green45-0.000.50-0.500.12-415-1917.015.41.6210.014.6-4.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 96, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
NOP 91, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%
NJN 85, SAS 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%