NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	86		Excitement	6.0 [590]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): +30.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	4.2 [416]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): -42.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Strickland	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	11	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.21	-0.21	-0.00	16	37%	-0.16	6	-0.27	6	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.14	-0.02	16	77%	0.34	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	7	78%	0.19	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	30.3	15.8	20.8	1.6	28.2	122.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.9%

DEN -6.3%

DEN -23.0%

LAC +16.3%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	16.8	15.5	98.9	117.9	100.9
season	15.2	16.1		101.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.9	14.1	16.4	19.9	16.9
LAC	18.1	16.0	17.1	16.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	50	50	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-15	17	16.7	17.1	-0.42	18.3	14.5	3.84
James Posey	30	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-10	7	17.9	16.4	1.53	18.0	16.1	1.92
Robert Pack	37	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-16	19	16.3	17.3	-1.04	15.9	17.4	-1.59
Voshon Lenard	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-8	3	19.0	15.9	3.10	17.5	16.4	1.02
George McCloud	53	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	15.4	19.3	-3.89	16.9	16.6	0.23
Nick Van Exel	73	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.8	17.3	-0.46	17.0	15.9	1.03
Mark Strickland	60	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-7	1	16.1	18.7	-2.67	16.2	17.9	-1.68
Kevin Willis	64	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.00	-22	9	-31	17.8	14.3	3.46	16.0	18.8	-2.81
Ryan Bowen	41	38	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.19	-21	8	-29	17.4	16.5	0.93	15.7	17.7	-1.96

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	49	51	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.11	26	-13	39	15.8	18.1	-2.28	17.6	15.9	1.77
Darius Miles	36	40	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-1	15	15.7	17.6	-1.96	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Lamar Odom	80	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-6	25	16.5	22.5	-6.00	17.5	8.7	8.84
Keyon Dooling	25	26	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	5	3	16.1	17.1	-1.00	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Corey Maggette	35	36	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	5	3	16.7	16.9	-0.17	15.2	18.1	-2.95
Eric Piatkowski	37	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	3	7	17.1	16.5	0.62	18.7	15.4	3.30
Jeff McInnis	64	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.18	9	4	5	16.7	17.1	-0.41	17.1	16.1	1.03
Michael Olowokandi	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	12	-11	18.0	16.2	1.84	17.9	16.4	1.44
Cherokee Parks	48	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	14	-15	17.6	15.7	1.96	17.7	16.0	1.66
Brian Skinner	8	9	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.08	-14	27	-41	18.4	16.6	1.76	9.8	17.7	-7.94
Quentin Richardson	11	12	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.10	-15	28	-43	20.2	16.3	3.91	11.0	17.8	-6.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.9,1	91.2%
WAS 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.96,1	90.7%
CHI 88, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,1	90.6%