NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	5.8 [633]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +20.5%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	2.1 [748]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -12.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	16	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Johnny Newman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	24	41%	-0.10	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.12	0.03	28	59%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.09	-0.05	13	62%	0.17	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	6	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	14	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	29.4	15.7	25.2	2.7	26.3	128.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.1%

NJN -24.9%

TOR +31.5%

NJN -3.1%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.5	104.7	121.6	100.9
season	15.5	15.8		97.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	18.7	17.7	17.3	17.3
TOR	15.2	13.4	16.6	18.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	36	38	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.08	12	-29	41	15.6	18.5	-2.82	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Stephen Jackson	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-9	1	24.1	16.5	7.63	11.1	16.3	-5.19
Stephon Marbury	80	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-7	-3	16.6	26.3	-9.73	15.6	20.2	-4.62
Keith Van Horn	82	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	17.0	24.0	-7.05	16.2	8.0	8.21
Kenyon Martin	78	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-6	-5	16.6	23.5	-6.86	16.1	12.3	3.86
Lucious Harris	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-6	-5	16.5	19.8	-3.28	15.9	15.5	0.38
Johnny Newman	37	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	4	-25	19.0	16.0	3.07	16.3	15.5	0.83
Aaron Williams	42	42	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.06	-24	7	-31	20.0	14.7	5.32	16.3	15.4	0.94

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	60	61	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.12	20	-3	23	16.1	15.3	0.81	19.0	13.2	5.81
Jerome Williams	53	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-9	35	15.9	15.7	0.16	17.6	16.8	0.76
Alvin Williams	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	1	15	15.5	17.4	-1.95	17.7	15.2	2.52
Chris Childs	33	31	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.15	17	0	17	15.2	16.2	-1.05	17.2	17.3	-0.13
Charles Oakley	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	8	1	16.7	13.4	3.32	16.8	18.7	-1.95
Vince Carter	75	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	9	-1	16.8	10.5	6.22	16.7	20.5	-3.75
Tracy Murray	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	10	-3	13.2	16.4	-3.17	20.5	16.5	3.96
Michael Stewart	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	18	-19	15.6	15.9	-0.29	13.3	17.6	-4.35
Dell Curry	12	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	16	-15	14.1	16.1	-2.04	12.3	17.9	-5.63
Antonio Davis	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	24	-31	13.0	16.1	-3.09	18.0	17.2	0.78
Morris Peterson	41	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	28	-39	15.6	16.1	-0.52	15.9	18.4	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	93.0%
ORL 100, GSW 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
NJN 68, MIN 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%