inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement5.9 [612] MVPAntawn Jamison (GSW): +14.8%
Golden State Warriors 113 Comeback2.1 [264] LVPTony Farmer (GSW): -15.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.00967%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Michael Doleac0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Strong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02460%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Corey Maggette-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.00440%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
John Amaechi-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00650%-0.012-0.07250%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.022140%-0.042-0.053100%0.01
Chris Gatling-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00759%0.085-0.16367%-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.011550%0.003-0.09887%0.02
Chucky Atkins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.050.03856%-0.024-0.1100%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.03-0.042264%0.233-0.08667%0.01
Mookie Blaylock0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.020.041662%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.030.021657%0.072-0.04367%-0.00
Vonteego Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.020.02955%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Tim Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jamel Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Jacobson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.03945%0.021-0.03250%0.00
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02837%-0.031-0.04333%-0.03
Tony Farmer0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.030.00838%-0.093-0.06540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.427.414.824.01.837.2131.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +22.8%
ORL -3.8%
GSW +9.0%
GSW +23.3%
ORL -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLGSWNBAORLGSWNBA
this game14.414.115.2100.0110.8101.7
season13.614.7100.497.2
opponent14.715.4105.899.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.815.116.313.114.4
GSW13.914.317.111.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Strong660.00-0.500.50-0.093-16195.515.0-9.498.014.5-6.48
Ben Wallace5151-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-131315.513.32.2214.813.41.37
Bo Outlaw6667-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-10715.911.54.4715.112.13.02
Pat Garrity2323-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-7112.015.1-3.0911.314.9-3.66
Darrell Armstrong7173-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-10714.514.10.4514.712.62.11
John Amaechi4444-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-3-10715.713.42.3715.812.82.95
Anthony Parker2829-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-7114.614.30.2614.014.2-0.19
Michael Doleac3335-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-9514.314.5-0.1713.914.2-0.37
Tariq Abdul-Wahad7273-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-6-114.314.6-0.2614.214.00.19
Chucky Atkins3940-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-4-512.315.8-3.5511.615.7-4.11
Corey Maggette2626-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-12-1-1113.014.9-1.8713.514.3-0.85
Chris Gatling4143-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.05-152-1714.614.30.3614.214.00.19

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Farmer71680.70-0.200.900.2017-42114.313.70.5113.216.9-3.70
Vonteego Cummings55540.54-0.040.580.0417-42112.715.7-2.9414.514.40.09
Antawn Jamison89890.490.010.490.0216-31914.312.81.4315.37.28.13
Donyell Marshall83820.430.070.370.0214-11514.313.30.9615.59.36.20
Sam Mack26270.340.160.190.25310-715.113.81.3115.014.20.74
Sam Jacobson57540.200.30-0.110.14211-914.513.60.9712.816.3-3.49
Tim Young660.000.50-0.500.09-316-198.014.5-6.485.515.0-9.49
Jamel Thomas650.000.50-0.500.09-316-198.014.5-6.485.414.9-9.49
Mookie Blaylock7371-0.080.58-0.66-0.1949-514.712.62.1614.913.21.71
Jason Caffey4444-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-215-1714.313.90.4315.413.71.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 105, WAS 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,192.7%
NJN 90, TOR 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,192.7%
PHX 107, DET 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,192.6%