NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	6.9 [494]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +20.8%
Detroit Pistons	118		Comeback	1.7 [942]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -13.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.02	0.06	13	83%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.16	-0.06	0.09	24	69%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Josh Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Warren	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	6	100%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	9	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	14	53%	0.12	3	-0.07	8	12%	-0.07
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	20	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	0.05	16	50%	0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.5	29.3	14.8	27.4	2.4	32.3	133.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.2%

PHX -3.8%

DET +21.3%

DET +1.6%

DET +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	14.3	107.0	120.4	109.3
season	14.4	15.3		104.8	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.0		109.0	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	13.0	15.3	12.2	13.6
DET	15.3	15.2	16.7	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	77	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-13	15	12.8	16.5	-3.73	16.2	13.4	2.76
T.J. Warren	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	14.7	13.1	1.64	15.2	15.6	-0.47
Deandre Ayton	67	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-8	5	13.2	14.4	-1.17	16.6	13.5	3.04
Mikal Bridges	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	13.5	13.8	-0.31	15.6	15.3	0.28
Josh Jackson	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	14.8	12.5	2.30	15.9	15.2	0.67
Devin Booker	78	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	13.1	15.5	-2.48	16.0	13.8	2.24
Richaun Holmes	33	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	14.4	13.2	1.17	13.5	16.6	-3.04
Isaiah Canaan	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	6	-23	14.9	12.7	2.15	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Jamal Crawford	54	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	1	-13	13.1	14.3	-1.21	14.9	16.2	-1.26

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	55	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-5	21	14.2	17.2	-3.05	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Langston Galloway	53	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-7	25	16.0	14.9	1.09	13.8	13.4	0.47
Zaza Pachulia	28	26	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	13.4	16.4	-3.00	15.5	12.9	2.55
Blake Griffin	70	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	4	3	16.3	13.4	2.90	13.3	14.5	-1.25
Ish Smith	36	34	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	0	11	13.7	16.5	-2.77	14.7	13.1	1.62
Bruce Brown	34	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	7	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.95	14.5	13.2	1.31
Reggie Jackson	62	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	11	-11	16.5	13.7	2.77	13.1	14.7	-1.62
Andre Drummond	62	66	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	14	-17	15.8	15.1	0.70	13.4	14.1	-0.68
Glenn Robinson III	26	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	17	-23	16.2	15.2	0.99	15.2	12.9	2.22
Reggie Bullock	64	68	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	15	-19	16.0	14.5	1.58	12.4	16.2	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
ORL 100, GSW 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%
WAS 91, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.5%