NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Excitement	2.0 [345]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +13.0%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.2 [988]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -33.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	0.03	-0.11	-0.01	18	65%	0.12	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.10	-0.02	13	21%	-0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	17	41%	-0.19	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.12	0.00	23	52%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	14	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	68%	0.16	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	72%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	55%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.0	15.0	26.0	2.5	36.2	133.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.4%

VAN -1.7%

VAN -21.4%

PHX +24.0%

VAN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	96.8	106.3	100.9
season	15.6	14.9		97.4	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		96.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.3	15.4	16.6	16.8	15.7
PHX	13.4	14.6	16.9	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	51	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-12	15	15.3	16.2	-0.85	15.0	14.2	0.85
Damon Jones	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	3	-15	14.9	16.0	-1.12	13.0	15.2	-2.16
Ike Austin	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.4	15.3	1.19	14.7	14.6	0.15
Grant Long	64	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.8	15.5	0.23	15.0	13.8	1.18
Michael Dickerson	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-6	3	16.0	14.3	1.66	14.9	13.1	1.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-5	1	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.0	10.3	4.67
Mike Bibby	87	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.4	18.7	-3.32	14.7	14.1	0.57
Stromile Swift	42	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	4	-17	16.1	15.4	0.66	13.1	15.8	-2.63

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	62	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-7	23	13.9	16.0	-2.13	16.5	14.4	2.11
Shawn Marion	62	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-6	21	13.7	16.4	-2.69	16.3	14.5	1.77
Rodney Rogers	30	30	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	14.7	14.6	0.18	14.0	16.5	-2.54
Jason Kidd	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	14.9	13.5	1.36	16.1	14.3	1.78
Clifford Robinson	92	92	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	4	1	14.7	11.3	3.38	15.8	14.0	1.76
Elliot Perry	19	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	8	-7	13.5	14.9	-1.36	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Vinny Del Negro	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	9	-9	15.5	14.4	1.07	16.7	15.5	1.22
Jake Tsakalidis	67	67	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	14.2	15.5	-1.26	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Daniel Santiago	17	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	11	-13	17.2	14.0	3.20	15.9	15.6	0.30
Mario Elie	34	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	16	-23	16.3	13.7	2.58	14.4	16.5	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.89,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%
POR 99, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	91.9%
NJN 96, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	91.8%