NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	9.2 [123]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +35.6%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.8 [808]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -17.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36	0.17	0.20	0.01	13	71%	0.41	1	-0.06	8	75%	-0.11
Clifford Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	11	82%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	14	46%	-0.06	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.09,-0.17	-0.02	-0.18	-0.03	19	43%	-0.13	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	7	65%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.07
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	17	55%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.05
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	43%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Delonte West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	16	54%	0.04	7	-0.21	14	57%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.8	15.8	26.1	2.4	41.5	141.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.3%

NJN -7.2%

BOS +30.5%

NJN -16.1%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.6	104.3	106.5	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		104.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.2	17.7	13.9	15.4	15.8
BOS	15.8	15.0	15.5	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	26	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	17.4	15.1	2.33	13.5	16.1	-2.67
Marc Jackson	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	17.7	14.9	2.77	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Antoine Wright	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	12.5	16.0	-3.48	18.3	15.2	3.15
Lamond Murray	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	20.4	15.0	5.37	15.7	15.3	0.32
Jason Collins	28	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	4	-11	15.0	16.1	-1.08	16.2	14.9	1.32
Richard Jefferson	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.7	16.2	-0.56	15.4	15.1	0.37
Clifford Robinson	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.8	15.7	0.01	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Vince Carter	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	15.2	18.2	-3.05	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Nenad Krstic	59	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.3	-0.91	16.1	14.2	1.95
Jason Kidd	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.2	19.2	-3.96	15.7	13.7	1.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	69	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	1	1	14.9	16.7	-1.78	14.8	18.0	-3.19
Paul Pierce	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	1	1	15.7	13.7	1.97	15.3	18.4	-3.08
Brian Scalabrine	37	36	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	15.2	15.5	-0.37	16.2	15.5	0.73
Ricky Davis	83	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	15.2	16.6	-1.36	15.5	17.4	-1.83
Kendrick Perkins	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	1	1	15.6	15.1	0.42	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Raef LaFrentz	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-4	11	14.8	15.8	-0.93	14.8	16.4	-1.64
Tony Allen	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	2	-1	14.3	15.8	-1.46	17.3	15.1	2.22
Al Jefferson	52	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	9	-15	16.4	14.1	2.22	16.7	14.5	2.19
Orien Greene	25	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	4	-5	16.0	15.1	0.89	17.5	15.0	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	93.5%
SEA 88, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.76,0.9,1	92.5%
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	91.9%