NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	5.5 [708]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (LAL): +12.8%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	1.5 [658]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	84%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	2	125%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	24	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	12	92%	0.04
Greg Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	15	60%	-0.03	6	-0.13	20	60%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	16	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	66%	0.05	3	-0.02	12	75%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	49%	-0.06	0	0.00	15	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.6	15.6	33.1	2.4	36.5	143.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.4%

UTA +5.0%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +22.9%

LAL -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	113.2	120.7	100.9
season	15.6	16.0		106.8	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		100.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	14.8	15.9	14.9	15.7
UTA	15.5	15.8	15.4	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-10	12	15.1	15.7	-0.63	18.2	15.5	2.69
Tyronn Lue	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-11	14	15.6	15.7	-0.14	14.1	16.3	-2.16
Slava Medvedenko	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	8.0	15.9	-7.85	1.5	16.1	-14.61
Robert Horry	53	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	16.1	15.2	0.90	17.0	14.2	2.76
Isaiah Rider	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	15.0	16.1	-1.13	17.1	15.1	2.01
Kobe Bryant	86	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-6	4	15.6	17.2	-1.61	16.1	10.0	6.06
Horace Grant	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.8	15.4	0.36	16.3	13.9	2.36
Ron Harper	50	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.8	15.5	0.26	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Shaquille O'Neal	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.9	13.8	2.12	15.9	15.2	0.69
Rick Fox	47	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.11	-16	8	-24	15.7	15.6	0.13	13.8	18.0	-4.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-7	22	15.1	19.3	-4.15	15.2	17.9	-2.62
Donyell Marshall	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	16.0	15.0	1.01	15.4	16.8	-1.50
John Stockton	62	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-4	16	15.7	15.9	-0.16	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Karl Malone	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	3	2	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Olden Polynice	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	2	4	16.6	14.7	1.85	16.3	14.7	1.53
Greg Ostertag	29	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	15.1	16.1	-1.01	16.0	15.5	0.49
Jacque Vaughn	33	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	12	-16	16.6	15.4	1.22	16.0	15.5	0.56
Danny Manning	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	14.4	16.3	-1.91	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Quincy Lewis	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	7	-6	17.0	15.8	1.23	18.3	15.6	2.74
David Benoit	20	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	11	-14	15.0	16.0	-1.01	16.7	15.4	1.28
DeShawn Stevenson	10	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	16	-24	18.5	15.5	3.04	17.6	15.5	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.96,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 94, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
MIL 89, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%