NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	5.1 [774]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +20.1%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.4 [1080]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -9.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.05	11	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	12	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	44%	-0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	13	52%	0.07	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	44%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.04	0.01	11	92%	0.22	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	10	81%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	10	77%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	24.4	16.6	23.7	2.0	30.0	125.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.2%

TOR +1.3%

PHI -20.1%

TOR +12.9%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.4	106.7	119.8	105.7
season	15.2	15.6		104.0	108.5
opponent	15.7	16.2		105.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.2	14.5	16.7	14.3	15.8
TOR	14.5	14.9	17.6	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-15	17	16.3	15.8	0.52	12.4	16.6	-4.28
Gordan Giricek	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-13	13	13.8	16.2	-2.34	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Thaddeus Young	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-8	3	14.6	17.6	-2.99	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Jason Smith	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-11	9	16.2	15.7	0.44	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Lou Williams	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-8	3	15.8	15.9	-0.16	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Reggie Evans	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	17.8	13.8	3.96	16.4	15.6	0.79
Willie Green	64	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	14.9	18.3	-3.41	15.8	16.5	-0.65
Andre Iguodala	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	16.4	14.7	1.75	16.6	14.7	1.89
Samuel Dalembert	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-3	-7	16.1	15.4	0.65	17.1	14.2	2.94
Andre Miller	71	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	4	-21	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.8	16.7	-0.89

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	46	47	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.03	22	-9	31	16.0	15.9	0.13	16.4	15.2	1.17
Jamario Moon	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	15.9	16.1	-0.19	16.1	14.6	1.51
Anthony Parker	62	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	15.8	16.3	-0.44	15.4	16.7	-1.37
Jose Calderon	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	1	11	16.0	15.9	0.13	16.1	14.6	1.51
Andrea Bargnani	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	7	-1	16.5	15.7	0.83	18.4	14.5	3.88
Joey Graham	30	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	11	-9	16.6	15.7	0.88	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Juan Dixon	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	15.9	16.0	-0.13	14.6	16.1	-1.51
Jason Kapono	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	16.3	15.8	0.44	16.7	15.4	1.37
Carlos Delfino	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	11	-9	15.9	16.1	-0.18	14.3	17.1	-2.76
Rasho Nesterovic	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	15	-17	15.6	16.3	-0.68	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Kris Humphries	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	15	-17	14.4	16.2	-1.77	14.4	16.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.4%
BKN 91, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	95.3%
NJN 74, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%