NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	5.2 [755]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +9.7%
Washington Wizards	82		Comeback	1.1 [1130]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (WAS): -26.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	24	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	13	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	19	55%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	64%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	12	48%	-0.06	5	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	12	21%	-0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	28.1	16.6	25.4	2.3	33.6	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.6%

PHI +5.5%

PHI +20.4%

PHI +1.3%

PHI +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	16.0	15.5	94.5	90.1	100.9
season	15.7	15.2		101.4	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	14.2	15.2	17.7	15.6
WAS	15.7	15.2	17.5	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	71	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-9	22	15.0	18.0	-3.03	16.6	14.3	2.29
George Lynch	67	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-5	14	15.5	16.0	-0.55	15.9	16.3	-0.33
Aaron McKie	71	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-3	10	15.5	16.2	-0.72	16.4	14.4	1.95
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	15.5	18.4	-2.92	15.7	21.6	-5.91
Theo Ratliff	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	15.7	15.4	0.25	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Todd MacCulloch	14	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	15.4	15.7	-0.25	17.7	15.8	1.91
Toni Kukoc	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	11	-18	16.1	15.3	0.78	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Kevin Ollie	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	13	-22	17.6	14.5	3.09	15.7	16.2	-0.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	17.6	15.9	1.68	13.3	15.8	-2.47
Popeye Jones	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-3	2	13.6	16.2	-2.64	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Gerard King	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-7	10	14.7	16.7	-1.99	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Felipe Lopez	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	2	-8	16.8	15.4	1.41	13.9	16.9	-3.00
Tyrone Nesby	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-8	12	16.0	16.1	-0.07	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Obinna Ekezie	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.77	16.5	15.3	1.20
Calvin Booth	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	16.6	15.5	1.10	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Michael Smith	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	15.8	16.2	-0.38	16.1	15.1	1.00
Richard Hamilton	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	15.3	17.1	-1.84	16.7	13.9	2.89
Chris Whitney	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-3	2	16.4	14.1	2.29	15.7	15.4	0.25
Juwan Howard	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.5	1.94	16.3	13.3	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CHI 95, LAC 75	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 94, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%