NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	3.0 [1133]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +5.9%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.0 [396]		LVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): -9.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	4	125%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	79%	0.05	0	0.00	10	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.05	4	-0.05	12	92%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.02	-0.07	16	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	16	60%	0.04	4	-0.04	11	73%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.02	0.08	22	59%	0.01	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	18	43%	-0.06	1	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.3	30.4	16.6	30.4	2.3	41.5	144.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.8%

DAL -4.9%

HOU +5.5%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	12.1	15.5	112.9	98.0	100.9
season	16.3	15.2		104.6	104.6
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	18.0	16.4	14.4	16.4
DAL	14.5	14.7	11.7	8.8	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	87	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-1	17	15.5	22.1	-6.68	11.9	13.8	-1.88
Moochie Norris	87	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	3	9	15.9	19.3	-3.37	11.5	15.7	-4.16
Kenny Thomas	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	9	-3	17.7	15.1	2.59	13.5	10.7	2.79
Shandon Anderson	84	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	6	3	16.5	15.8	0.68	11.7	14.1	-2.37
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	4	7	16.3	16.5	-0.19	11.8	12.7	-0.87
Walt Williams	22	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	7	1	18.0	15.9	2.06	16.6	10.7	5.90
Matt Bullard	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.19	11	4	7	13.7	17.4	-3.71	10.5	12.8	-2.30
Maurice Taylor	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	17	-19	17.9	15.0	2.94	11.6	12.7	-1.08
Hakeem Olajuwon	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	16.9	16.2	0.68	13.0	11.8	1.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	19	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	8.2	13.0	-4.83	16.5	16.3	0.17
Gary Trent	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-11	7	17.9	11.6	6.24	20.9	16.0	4.87
Christian Laettner	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-9	3	18.0	11.3	6.66	19.0	16.0	2.97
Courtney Alexander	49	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-9	3	11.3	12.9	-1.68	14.9	17.6	-2.75
Shawn Bradley	40	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-1	-13	12.8	11.7	1.11	16.6	16.2	0.44
Howard Eisley	75	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-13	11	12.5	11.0	1.52	17.4	13.3	4.09
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	11.4	14.0	-2.67	16.0	17.4	-1.44
Hubert Davis	53	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-9	3	11.6	12.7	-1.03	15.8	17.0	-1.27
Michael Finley	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	12.5	8.0	4.48	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Steve Nash	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	3	-21	12.0	12.6	-0.55	16.0	18.1	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DET 118, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DAL 114, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%