NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	2.5 [1224]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +14.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	1.0 [614]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -9.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.00	0.03	12	87%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	71%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	17	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	5	8%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	52%	-0.01	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	14	54%	-0.04	2	-0.02	13	85%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.01	20	43%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	29.5	14.0	27.2	2.4	29.2	128.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.2%

LAC -6.1%

HOU +2.7%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.7	112.1	86.8	100.5
season	16.5	15.5		98.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	14.7	16.6	18.3	16.3
LAC	17.0	15.3	14.1	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	5	13	15.6	18.0	-2.32	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Eric Piatkowski	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.32	23	0	23	15.7	17.0	-1.34	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Jim Jackson	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	6	11	16.2	16.5	-0.29	15.4	15.2	0.14
Kelvin Cato	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	10	3	15.8	17.0	-1.17	16.2	14.3	1.95
Yao Ming	43	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	4	15	15.2	17.3	-2.08	15.9	14.8	1.04
Maurice Taylor	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	14	-5	16.7	15.7	1.02	15.3	15.4	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	18	-13	17.2	14.3	2.86	15.7	14.3	1.39
Mark Jackson	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	18	-13	18.0	15.6	2.32	16.0	15.1	0.87
Clar. Weatherspoon	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	20	-17	19.0	15.3	3.66	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Mike Wilks	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	12.0	16.5	-4.51	11.2	15.5	-4.28
Scott Padgett	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	16.7	16.3	0.38	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Bostjan Nachbar	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	12.6	16.5	-3.92	11.2	15.5	-4.28

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.0	15.5	-2.51	16.7	16.3	0.38
Doug Overton	32	33	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-24	25	13.5	16.3	-2.79	17.9	15.4	2.56
Eddie House	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-9	-5	14.6	16.1	-1.54	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Chris Kaman	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-7	-9	15.8	14.8	0.97	16.4	16.2	0.26
Predrag Drobnjak	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-12	1	14.5	16.9	-2.32	16.2	16.5	-0.22
Corey Maggette	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-8	-7	15.3	15.5	-0.23	16.7	14.6	2.12
Matt Barnes	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-8	-7	16.0	14.1	1.84	15.7	17.4	-1.64
Elton Brand	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-5	-13	15.9	13.5	2.37	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Keyon Dooling	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.29	-26	3	-29	16.3	13.6	2.77	15.6	17.5	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 103, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
WAS 112, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%