NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	3.6 [1045]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +9.0%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.1 [846]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -19.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	8	74%	0.14	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	23	52%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	9	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	48%	0.00	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.10	8	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	65%	0.03	3	-0.01	12	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mark Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	40%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.21	-0.01	-0.06	18	32%	-0.08	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.23	-0.01	-0.05	15	28%	-0.11	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	33.0	15.5	27.8	1.7	33.3	137.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.8%

PHI +4.2%

BOS -5.0%

PHI +10.0%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	15.5	114.0	89.1	100.9
season	15.7	15.1		101.4	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	11.8	16.2	12.0	14.2
BOS	16.1	16.5	11.5	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.30	29	-5	34	14.1	14.6	-0.47	14.5	14.1	0.41
Eric Snow	78	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	2	20	14.4	13.5	0.86	15.2	12.1	3.11
George Lynch	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.39	27	-3	30	13.7	14.8	-1.16	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Theo Ratliff	73	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	6	12	14.9	12.1	2.87	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Toni Kukoc	24	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	17	-10	12.4	14.7	-2.31	16.3	13.8	2.51
Aaron McKie	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	19	-14	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.5	14.4	0.10
Tyrone Hill	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	23	-22	16.4	12.4	4.01	15.7	13.5	2.18
Vernon Maxwell	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	25	-26	13.7	14.4	-0.71	13.2	15.1	-1.91
Pepe Sanchez	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	21	-18	12.7	14.3	-1.54	11.8	14.7	-2.97
Jumaine Jones	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.9	14.2	-0.34	11.2	14.8	-3.51
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	25	-26	13.8	14.2	-0.41	13.7	14.6	-0.85

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	57	56	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-26	28	14.1	15.0	-0.83	15.1	13.0	2.01
Chris Carr	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-21	18	12.8	14.7	-1.88	10.9	14.6	-3.70
Walter McCarty	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-29	34	15.6	14.3	1.26	14.8	14.1	0.72
Mark Blount	6	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-20	16	9.3	14.8	-5.48	15.4	14.1	1.29
Adrian Griffin	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-22	20	10.0	14.9	-4.92	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Rick Brunson	47	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-21	18	13.5	15.4	-1.90	14.6	13.8	0.78
Eric Williams	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.16	-15	-9	-6	14.7	14.1	0.65	13.0	16.1	-3.08
Bryant Stith	45	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-10	-4	14.6	14.4	0.25	15.7	12.8	2.91
Paul Pierce	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-10	-4	15.0	13.1	1.94	14.7	12.7	2.07
Chris Herren	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	-3	-18	15.2	13.6	1.65	13.6	14.9	-1.36
Antoine Walker	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.26	-24	0	-24	14.0	15.5	-1.57	14.7	13.0	1.77
Vitaly Potapenko	56	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.27	-27	3	-30	15.9	12.8	3.12	12.6	16.2	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DEN 94, NOH 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	96.4%
BOS 99, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%