NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	1.7 [476]		MVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): +5.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	2.0 [712]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -14.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	20	51%	-0.06	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Chris Porter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	3	60%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Chris Mullin	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	10	50%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	18	37%	-0.08	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	69%	0.16	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.06
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	7	53%	0.01	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	13	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.4	15.4	27.1	1.5	36.6	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.9%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +23.5%

GSW -36.7%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.5	86.0	98.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.3		95.3	98.4
opponent	15.6	14.9		102.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	17.3	14.2	14.1	14.7
CLE	15.5	13.2	14.6	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Porter	30	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-9	8	12.9	15.5	-2.66	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Adonal Foyle	8	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-15	20	17.2	14.5	2.74	16.5	14.2	2.33
Vinny Del Negro	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	16.4	14.4	2.02	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Marc Jackson	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-8	6	17.2	14.0	3.21	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Antawn Jamison	90	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.8	13.9	0.92	14.4	13.7	0.71
Larry Hughes	94	92	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	14.8	13.7	1.13	14.6	10.5	4.11
Erick Dampier	90	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	0	-10	14.3	18.6	-4.30	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Mookie Blaylock	88	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.3	17.7	-3.43	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Chris Mullin	58	54	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	5	-20	14.9	14.5	0.31	14.6	14.0	0.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	58	62	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.12	22	-12	34	13.9	15.0	-1.13	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Lamond Murray	82	84	0.65	-0.14	0.79	0.15	17	-7	24	14.0	15.9	-1.89	14.7	14.6	0.13
Trajan Langdon	37	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-1	12	13.5	14.9	-1.36	15.2	14.5	0.73
Chris Mihm	39	40	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	3	4	14.1	14.5	-0.38	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Clar. Weatherspoon	48	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	1	8	14.9	13.9	0.97	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	9	-8	14.8	13.8	0.95	15.1	14.2	0.92
Robert Traylor	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	11	-12	14.1	14.7	-0.57	14.8	14.6	0.25
Matt Harpring	51	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	15.2	13.4	1.79	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Cedric Henderson	26	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	20	-30	14.8	14.2	0.67	15.8	14.4	1.46
Bimbo Coles	43	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.02	-8	18	-26	14.4	14.3	0.11	14.8	14.7	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.8,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
MIL 104, NOP 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1	92.0%
BKN 95, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%