NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	6.3 [442]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +20.0%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	2.0 [555]		LVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): -13.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	112%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	22	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Jeremy Pargo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.14	-0.02	17	59%	0.28	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.06
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.01	6	50%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	29.5	14.8	29.4	2.5	38.5	142.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.6%

HOU +21.9%

MEM -3.4%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.6	104.5	109.0	102.8
season	15.6	15.4		102.0	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.2	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.5	17.7	16.0	13.0	16.0
HOU	14.6	16.5	16.8	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	44	46	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-16	28	15.1	16.9	-1.80	17.8	14.8	3.04
Dante Cunningham	29	30	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-7	10	16.1	15.9	0.20	16.1	16.5	-0.44
Rudy Gay	76	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-4	4	15.8	17.3	-1.53	16.4	16.4	0.00
Marc Gasol	71	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-4	4	15.8	16.7	-0.91	15.9	18.3	-2.40
Mike Conley	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	16.3	14.7	1.60	16.8	14.4	2.42
Marreese Speights	55	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	3	-10	17.4	13.7	3.71	16.6	15.9	0.70
Quincy Pondexter	21	21	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	5	-14	15.0	16.3	-1.31	13.7	17.2	-3.52
Jeremy Pargo	16	18	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	8	-20	15.0	16.2	-1.22	16.0	16.5	-0.45
O.J. Mayo	59	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.32	-12	8	-20	16.1	15.8	0.25	16.2	16.6	-0.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	47	46	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-5	14	16.1	16.7	-0.58	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Kyle Lowry	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	16.8	4.0	12.79	15.9	18.5	-2.56
Goran Dragic	28	28	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-6	16	16.1	16.5	-0.32	16.8	15.6	1.15
Patrick Patterson	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	5	-6	16.3	16.5	-0.24	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Chandler Parsons	70	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	9	-14	16.8	14.6	2.20	15.3	18.5	-3.29
Samuel Dalembert	34	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-6	16	15.8	16.7	-0.87	17.7	14.8	2.89
Kevin Martin	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	4	-4	15.9	17.6	-1.72	15.7	16.7	-0.92
Luis Scola	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	6	-8	16.7	16.1	0.61	16.9	15.3	1.62
Greg Smith	22	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	9	-14	15.9	16.5	-0.60	16.5	15.8	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BKN 95, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
LAC 105, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.87,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%