NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	95		Excitement	6.3 [571]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +19.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	2.4 [899]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -11.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	17	60%	0.14	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Sergey Karasev	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Chris McCullough	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Thaddeus Young	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	12	36%	-0.04	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	17	67%	0.27	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.17	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	8	62%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	32.0	15.4	27.4	2.3	27.6	129.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.8%

BKN -0.3%

BKN -9.9%

LAC +15.5%

LAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAC	NBA	BKN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	14.9	100.0	109.4	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		101.9	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		102.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.7	16.0	15.5	15.6	15.9
LAC	14.0	13.4	13.9	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Reed	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	17.0	15.9	1.07	0.0	14.2	-14.23
Wayne Ellington	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-12	14	17.6	14.7	2.90	13.1	15.0	-1.89
Sean Kilpatrick	1	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	8.0	16.0	-8.02	10.0	14.3	-4.32
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	16.4	14.5	1.87	13.4	16.7	-3.31
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	16.7	14.3	2.39	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Chris McCullough	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	13.5	16.7	-3.17	15.8	13.7	2.04
Shane Larkin	48	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	16.0	15.9	0.04	14.4	14.1	0.31
Donald Sloan	47	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-5	0	15.9	16.0	-0.04	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Thomas Robinson	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	14.5	16.5	-2.04	15.4	13.8	1.59
Thaddeus Young	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	16.7	13.7	3.01	13.7	15.8	-2.04
Sergey Karasev	25	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	14.6	16.4	-1.76	16.7	13.4	3.31
Markel Brown	53	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	14.6	17.6	-2.93	15.0	13.1	1.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-1	12	14.7	13.7	1.00	14.7	17.5	-2.83
Jeff Green	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	7	-4	13.7	15.2	-1.51	16.2	15.4	0.79
Cole Aldrich	23	22	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	5	0	14.9	14.0	0.84	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Pablo Prigioni	24	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	5	0	14.7	14.1	0.64	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Paul Pierce	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	0	10	13.5	14.8	-1.35	16.5	15.4	1.09
Wesley Johnson	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	10	-10	14.7	13.7	1.02	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Chris Paul	72	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	5	0	14.1	14.7	-0.64	16.1	15.6	0.47
JJ Redick	65	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	5	0	13.9	14.9	-0.95	16.0	15.9	0.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	4	2	16.1	13.9	2.26	17.6	15.6	1.97
DeAndre Jordan	71	71	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	10	-10	14.1	14.5	-0.34	16.5	14.4	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MEM 93, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.9%
MIN 90, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%