inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 90 Excitement6.2 [609] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +11.2%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback3.3 [692] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -16.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trenton Hassell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.001453%0.0600.002100%0.01
Troy Hudson0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.021369%0.122-0.06367%-0.00
Mark Madsen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.02475%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Ervin Johnson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
John Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.0330%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Anthony Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00250%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.030.022051%-0.022-0.05367%-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.02850%0.034-0.154100%0.03
Latrell Sprewell-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.001033%-0.053-0.071100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.060.00968%0.151-0.044100%0.03
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.060.00478%0.111-0.021100%0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00467%0.061-0.034100%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021861%0.031-0.031872%-0.05
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.011050%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00658%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.01550%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.030.001745%-0.054-0.111080%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.93.432.419.728.23.430.6140.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +6.3%
MIA +11.4%
MIA +11.0%
MIA +24.5%
MIN -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game16.315.615.598.9118.9104.0
season15.815.7106.2107.9
opponent15.515.9101.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN17.015.417.415.416.3
MIA17.214.016.015.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Thomas32310.18-0.680.860.093-202315.216.8-1.6913.316.8-3.47
Ervin Johnson28280.06-0.560.610.031-181917.715.62.1116.615.11.56
Troy Hudson57570.02-0.520.540.05-1-161516.815.41.3915.316.1-0.78
Trenton Hassell5655-0.11-0.390.27-0.141-181917.015.11.8517.113.14.06
Latrell Sprewell5354-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-8-117.214.92.2414.617.0-2.44
Kevin Garnett7575-0.35-0.15-0.210.12-16-1-1516.316.10.1615.316.9-1.64
Wally Szczerbiak4443-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.05-13-4-914.617.8-3.1716.015.10.92
Anthony Carter3433-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-16-1-1515.416.8-1.3916.115.30.78
Mark Madsen4240-0.580.08-0.66-0.11-16-1-1515.816.6-0.7816.914.52.44
Fred Hoiberg3434-0.630.13-0.76-0.08-192-2116.016.4-0.3614.116.4-2.28

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones76760.64-0.140.79-0.0323-62915.117.9-2.7116.614.32.38
Keyon Dooling25260.470.030.450.15116516.215.30.8215.816.4-0.57
Christian Laettner35350.390.110.27-0.1418-11913.117.1-4.0615.117.0-1.85
Shaquille O'Neal70710.310.190.13-0.04125715.017.6-2.6816.515.21.35
Shandon Anderson28290.190.31-0.120.07413-916.515.21.3014.717.0-2.29
Michael Doleac20200.190.31-0.130.04512-717.615.02.6815.216.5-1.35
Dwyane Wade76770.170.33-0.17-0.04710-315.715.10.5916.515.11.31
Udonis Haslem55560.110.39-0.270.14-118-1917.113.14.0617.015.11.85
Damon Jones65650.030.47-0.45-0.15611-515.316.2-0.8216.415.80.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 95, LAC 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.5%
CHI 105, PHX 1130.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,192.9%
BOS 79, CHI 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,192.5%