NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	5.8 [561]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +19.7%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	3.1 [398]		LVP	Matisse Thybulle (PHI): -7.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.05	-0.01	12	77%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	14	79%	0.20	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shake Milton	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Matisse Thybulle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	22	57%	0.05	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	17	41%	-0.03	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.4	14.0	27.1	1.7	30.2	131.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.3%

DET -5.4%

PHI +20.6%

DET -6.0%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	14.5	117.2	104.3	110.8
season	15.2	14.6		112.4	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		112.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	15.0	16.9	15.4	15.8
DET	14.2	16.3	15.1	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	61	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-7	25	15.2	16.8	-1.66	15.5	14.2	1.25
Andre Drummond	34	34	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-9	29	14.6	16.4	-1.79	16.7	14.1	2.54
Shake Milton	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-2	15	15.7	15.8	-0.04	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Tyrese Maxey	88	87	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	8	-5	15.9	14.0	1.85	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Paul Reed	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	2	7	14.1	16.5	-2.40	15.9	14.7	1.17
Seth Curry	70	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	16.4	13.7	2.73	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Matisse Thybulle	58	60	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	13	-15	16.2	15.0	1.25	15.1	15.0	0.04
Joel Embiid	59	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	20	-29	16.4	14.6	1.79	14.1	16.7	-2.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	62	62	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-18	25	14.3	16.4	-2.10	16.4	14.5	1.81
Killian Hayes	57	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.16	6	-17	23	14.1	16.6	-2.54	16.1	15.1	1.02
Isaiah Stewart	60	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.3	14.6	0.64	16.2	15.0	1.23
Saddiq Bey	73	73	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-14	17	14.8	15.9	-1.10	16.1	14.4	1.72
Jerami Grant	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-9	7	14.7	16.3	-1.58	15.8	15.7	0.04
Trey Lyles	20	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-2	-7	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Frank Jackson	27	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	0	-11	16.0	14.7	1.33	15.6	15.8	-0.15
Kelly Olynyk	34	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	14.6	15.3	-0.64	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Josh Jackson	30	29	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	8	-27	16.6	14.3	2.27	14.0	16.6	-2.60
Cory Joseph	33	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	8	-27	16.5	14.3	2.21	14.7	16.3	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CHI 89, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.9%
CLE 95, GSW 67	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%