NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +58.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	10.1 [60]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -19.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.48,0.37,0.37	0.14	0.23	-0.00	17	71%	0.42	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.35	0.00	0.35	-0.00	15	50%	0.40	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.18
Gorgui Dieng	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	10	60%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	20	62%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Tyus Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	11	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.04	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.41,0.58	0.58	0.15	0.44	0.01	17	70%	0.65	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.16
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	-0.00	0.01	18	69%	0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.00	-0.19	0.00	13	69%	0.07	6	-0.27	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.1	15.3	31.8	1.8	36.2	141.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.7%

MIN +11.2%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +15.0%

NOP -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.4	12.9	14.9	109.8	107.8	105.1
season	14.8	14.3		104.8	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	17.0	13.9	16.2	15.4
NOP	13.0	13.0	11.4	14.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	82	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	15.5	14.7	0.77	12.8	13.0	-0.12
Ricky Rubio	77	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	15.1	16.3	-1.26	12.9	12.9	-0.03
Zach LaVine	74	74	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.5	15.0	0.56	13.4	11.5	1.83
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	15.0	16.5	-1.56	12.8	12.9	-0.08
Andrew Wiggins	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	14.8	17.4	-2.66	13.0	12.4	0.58
Adreian Payne	25	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.3	0.35	12.5	13.0	-0.54
Tyus Jones	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	16.3	15.1	1.26	12.9	12.9	0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	53	54	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	15.8	14.9	0.99	12.3	13.5	-1.12
Tayshaun Prince	19	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	10	-18	16.5	15.1	1.42	12.6	12.9	-0.33

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	13	12	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-7	12	12.5	12.9	-0.46	16.9	15.2	1.75
Toney Douglas	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-3	4	14.1	12.5	1.55	17.5	14.8	2.71
Alonzo Gee	40	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-2	2	13.7	12.3	1.34	15.2	15.5	-0.22
Ryan Anderson	86	86	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-4	6	12.7	13.9	-1.27	15.1	16.7	-1.56
Alexis Ajinca	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	7	-16	12.8	12.9	-0.04	13.0	16.3	-3.31
Norris Cole	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-1	0	12.8	12.9	-0.04	15.9	14.6	1.29
Kendrick Perkins	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	3	-8	13.0	12.8	0.15	15.6	15.2	0.44
Jrue Holiday	75	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.58	4	-6	10	13.1	12.1	1.07	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Eric Gordon	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	1	-4	12.3	14.3	-2.01	14.7	17.2	-2.49
Dante Cunningham	71	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	12.6	13.5	-0.85	16.0	13.9	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.22,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	90.5%
DAL 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	90.3%
DEN 100, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.71,0.43,0.58,0	89.8%