NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	2.3 [1259]		MVP	PJ Hairston (CHA): +12.5%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	1.4 [1056]		LVP	Jose Calderon (NYK): -11.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Hairston	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.02	-0.04	12	62%	0.13	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	-0.00	0.09	13	80%	0.10	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	8	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	11	37%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.00	0.09	7	74%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	0.00	0.13	9	82%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	63%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	12	29%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	29.6	16.5	27.4	2.5	30.2	132.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +30.1%

CHA +4.9%

CHA +12.9%

CHA +2.3%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	15.1	113.4	85.4	104.2
season	15.6	16.1		98.9	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.3	13.5	16.3	15.2	14.8
NYK	16.3	14.8	15.0	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	66	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	10	8	14.5	15.4	-0.87	13.8	17.5	-3.67
Marvin Williams	44	46	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	9	10	14.7	14.9	-0.16	13.7	16.3	-2.65
Jason Maxiell	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.44	-3	31	-34	15.5	13.9	1.59	13.3	17.4	-4.12
Kemba Walker	56	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.78	36	-8	44	14.2	15.6	-1.37	15.8	13.9	1.94
PJ Hairston	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.43	-6	34	-40	15.4	14.2	1.18	13.5	16.6	-3.10
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.75	34	-6	40	14.2	15.4	-1.18	16.6	13.5	3.10
Gerald Henderson	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.38	19	9	10	15.7	14.0	1.68	16.2	13.9	2.27
Bismack Biyombo	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.76	31	-3	34	13.9	15.5	-1.59	17.4	13.3	4.12
Cody Zeller	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.45	19	9	10	15.5	14.4	1.09	17.6	13.8	3.81
Jeff Taylor	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	45	-62	15.2	14.7	0.55	14.2	15.3	-1.18
Noah Vonleh	20	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	38	-48	13.8	15.1	-1.25	14.1	15.3	-1.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-23	18	14.8	15.1	-0.30	15.9	14.7	1.21
Langston Galloway	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-28	28	13.5	16.2	-2.72	15.5	14.2	1.29
Quincy Acy	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-21	14	14.8	15.2	-0.43	15.0	14.7	0.29
Cleanthony Early	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.43	-21	-7	-14	16.1	13.5	2.55	15.1	14.3	0.84
Jason Smith	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-13	-2	15.9	14.3	1.58	15.3	14.4	0.92
Tim Hardaway Jr.	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-25	22	14.6	15.7	-1.09	14.9	14.7	0.18
Jose Calderon	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.46	-27	-1	-26	15.8	14.0	1.85	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Shane Larkin	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.33	-23	-5	-18	15.0	15.1	-0.04	13.8	16.2	-2.36
Travis Wear	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-16	4	14.0	17.0	-2.97	15.1	14.3	0.75
Cole Aldrich	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.42	-27	-1	-26	15.6	14.3	1.20	14.1	15.6	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
LAC 102, IND 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
LAL 131, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%