NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	131		Excitement	3.0 [1187]		MVP	JaVale McGee (LAL): +12.2%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	1.4 [917]		LVP	TJ Warren (PHX): -6.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.02	13	62%	0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	77%	0.11	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	8	83%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	63%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	15	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.00	0.11	14	76%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	74%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	16	59%	0.03	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	28.4	14.6	25.5	1.8	23.3	122.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.2%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +2.8%

LAL +20.8%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	14.6	14.3	124.8	109.7	109.3
season	13.5	14.4		107.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		114.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.4	11.8	15.0	14.5	13.1
PHX	14.4	15.8	14.4	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	55	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.15	21	-3	24	11.7	14.6	-2.89	15.1	14.0	1.09
LeBron James	62	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	-1	20	12.9	13.5	-0.62	15.2	13.7	1.56
Kyle Kuzma	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	5	8	12.6	14.0	-1.42	15.0	13.9	1.06
Josh Hart	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.27	21	-3	24	11.6	15.1	-3.52	15.5	13.3	2.21
Lonzo Ball	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	14	-10	13.6	12.4	1.15	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	70	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	13	-8	13.8	11.8	2.03	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Svi Mykhailiuk	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	14	-10	13.6	12.7	0.92	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Lance Stephenson	55	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	12	-6	13.9	12.3	1.57	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Johnathan Williams	43	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	17	-16	14.7	12.0	2.63	15.1	14.3	0.85
Ivica Zubac	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	14.4	13.0	1.40	6.5	15.1	-8.58

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	6.5	15.1	-8.58	14.4	13.0	1.40
Mikal Bridges	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-18	18	13.2	15.2	-2.00	14.6	12.5	2.07
Deandre Ayton	64	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-14	10	14.9	14.1	0.73	13.7	12.1	1.55
Isaiah Canaan	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-13	8	14.5	14.7	-0.14	12.9	13.4	-0.46
Josh Jackson	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	13.9	15.4	-1.54	13.8	12.3	1.53
TJ Warren	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-12	6	14.1	15.3	-1.14	13.7	12.3	1.39
Ryan Anderson	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-6	-6	15.3	14.1	1.14	12.4	13.6	-1.20
Trevor Ariza	71	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-9	0	15.0	13.7	1.30	12.8	14.0	-1.20
Tyson Chandler	33	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.22	-18	0	-18	15.5	14.1	1.37	11.6	13.8	-2.14
Jamal Crawford	30	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.30	-21	3	-24	15.8	14.1	1.72	12.6	13.3	-0.70
Devin Booker	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-4	-10	14.9	14.1	0.83	12.6	14.0	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DAL 98, MIN 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHA 110, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%