inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 100 Excitement10.9 [41] MVPRay Allen (MIA): +29.3%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback139.8 [12] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -58.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.240,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.240.160.110.031469%0.2400.00475%-0.02
Tiago Splitter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.00283%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00644%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Gary Neal-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00736%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.13-0.150.032164%-0.012-0.04580%0.00
Danny Green-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.07-0.07-0.00721%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker-0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,-0.04,-0.17-0.07-0.100.002336%-0.1700.00786%-0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.590,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.59-0.14-0.45-0.00556%0.108-0.69667%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.290.29-0.020.360.04850%0.342-0.052100%0.03
Mike Miller0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.014100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.000.004112%0.1100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.040.011240%0.031-0.0310%-0.05
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.11-0.140.021183%0.183-0.222100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.001544%0.023-0.142100%0.05
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.12,-0.38-0.38-0.07-0.300.022650%0.096-0.481275%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.53.031.017.035.13.643.32.518.6181.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +85.4%
SAS -5.4%
SAS -38.1%
MIA +6.6%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game15.816.815.4102.0106.2104.1
season15.215.7106.4110.2
opponent15.915.1102.499.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS15.416.916.215.813.615.8
MIA16.617.416.517.016.416.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan82810.22-0.720.95-0.2416-193516.014.71.2716.916.50.36
Matt Bonner11-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-3310.015.9-5.880.017.0-16.98
Gary Neal4442-0.10-0.400.300.05-52-716.914.92.0216.716.9-0.16
Kawhi Leonard8583-0.12-0.380.26-0.4411-142515.716.5-0.7416.916.40.44
Tony Parker7780-0.17-0.330.17-0.408-111916.214.51.7116.916.50.33
Boris Diaw4542-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-4514.616.9-2.2917.016.60.43
Tiago Splitter1415-0.37-0.13-0.230.01-1310-2316.415.70.7116.716.8-0.16
Manu Ginobili6664-0.790.29-1.07-0.17-2118-3915.217.1-1.9016.916.60.30
Danny Green7677-0.820.32-1.14-0.47-129-2115.915.50.4716.717.2-0.56

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers80810.86-0.361.230.4813-102317.015.71.3315.517.2-1.72
Mike Miller50540.63-0.130.750.1915-122717.016.60.4917.813.44.41
Ray Allen74750.480.020.470.374-1516.717.0-0.3115.517.0-1.55
LeBron James91910.420.080.330.45-14-516.817.3-0.5615.815.9-0.04
Chris Andersen25260.250.25-0.010.134-1517.016.70.2616.215.70.46
Chris Bosh72710.180.32-0.140.27-36-916.717.0-0.2615.915.60.31
Shane Battier2525-0.160.66-0.81-0.10-25-716.716.8-0.1113.616.6-3.03
Dwyane Wade6867-0.160.66-0.820.28-1518-3316.517.5-0.9715.616.3-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 115, BKN 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.75,0.81,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.34,0.84,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.72,188.3%
VAN 108, CLE 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.39,0.61,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.55,0.58,188.1%
DET 85, GSW 870.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,187.9%