NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	7.0 [409]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (MIN): +15.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Comeback	6.6 [114]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -25.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.01	11	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	9	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	14	48%	0.07	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	3	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.19	-0.05	0.00	12	36%	-0.12	6	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	5	79%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	45%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	11	42%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	20	37%	-0.13	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	7	14%	-0.17	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.7	32.2	18.7	29.2	3.4	38.6	145.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.6%

MIN -4.7%

POR +4.3%

MIN -11.8%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	17.3	15.2	98.8	89.5	101.7
season	15.9	15.1		105.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	16.6	18.8	13.5	16.2
MIN	16.2	16.1	16.3	20.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	38	37	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-3	14	15.3	16.8	-1.47	18.5	16.4	2.04
Steven Smith	72	71	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.23	16	-8	24	16.0	17.1	-1.17	16.7	20.1	-3.32
Greg Anthony	32	32	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	2	4	14.1	17.4	-3.30	19.5	16.0	3.46
Rasheed Wallace	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	1	6	16.0	19.3	-3.29	17.3	18.7	-1.39
Scottie Pippen	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	2	4	16.4	14.9	1.49	16.2	22.2	-5.97
Detlef Schrempf	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	8	-8	15.6	16.4	-0.85	21.2	15.6	5.54
Damon Stoudamire	54	54	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	6	-4	17.4	14.1	3.30	16.0	19.5	-3.46
Stacey Augmon	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	13.3	16.4	-3.04	18.7	17.2	1.44
Arvydas Sabonis	49	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.14	-4	12	-16	17.6	14.3	3.23	16.8	18.1	-1.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	28	26	0.46	-0.96	1.41	0.07	13	-21	34	17.9	17.1	0.79	17.0	15.8	1.14
Dean Garrett	9	8	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-14	20	14.8	17.6	-2.85	20.0	15.8	4.23
Sam Mitchell	32	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	18.7	16.5	2.12	15.4	16.7	-1.24
Wally Szczerbiak	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-1	-6	16.0	18.7	-2.76	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Joe Smith	30	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	18.4	16.7	1.70	13.0	17.8	-4.77
Malik Sealy	64	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	17.0	18.3	-1.27	16.3	15.9	0.40
Rasho Nesterovic	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	17.0	17.8	-0.87	17.4	14.3	3.12
Kevin Garnett	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	17.5	12.7	4.80	16.5	10.2	6.20
Anthony Peeler	33	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-7	6	18.2	16.8	1.34	16.5	16.0	0.50
Terrell Brandon	58	60	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.34	-21	13	-34	17.1	17.9	-0.79	15.8	17.0	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	92.0%
SEA 87, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.09,0	91.6%
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.0%