NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	8.7 [140]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +31.6%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	8.1 [165]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -35.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.20	0.01	10	86%	0.39	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	15	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.01	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.22	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.35,-0.35,-0.36,-0.36	-0.22	-0.17	-0.03	21	28%	-0.23	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.19	-0.00	15	74%	0.36	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.21	0.02	16	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	18	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	12	44%	0.01	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.8	32.0	18.8	26.0	2.6	28.4	3.5	11.1	148.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +25.2%

CHH +1.5%

PHI -5.9%

CHH +27.9%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	17.1	16.8	15.2	105.4	113.7	101.7
season	15.0	14.9		99.5	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		99.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.3	17.1	16.2	23.7	17.0	17.1
CHH	14.9	16.4	18.0	17.6	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	27	28	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.20	1	-11	12	18.3	16.6	1.77	18.0	16.2	1.76
Kevin Ollie	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	13.0	17.1	-4.12	0.0	16.9	-16.94
Ira Bowman	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	13.0	17.1	-4.12	0.0	16.9	-16.94
Todd MacCulloch	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-5	0	15.6	17.4	-1.75	13.1	17.5	-4.44
George Lynch	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-9	8	17.8	16.5	1.23	17.9	15.9	2.02
Matt Geiger	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-12	14	16.4	17.3	-0.98	17.0	16.7	0.32
Tyrone Hill	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	17.0	17.6	-0.58	16.5	18.7	-2.28
Theo Ratliff	63	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	18.0	15.2	2.77	18.2	13.5	4.66
Toni Kukoc	53	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	16.5	17.8	-1.23	15.9	17.9	-2.02
Eric Snow	77	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	1	-12	16.8	18.2	-1.42	16.5	18.2	-1.72
Allen Iverson	81	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	-4	-2	16.9	18.4	-1.54	16.8	16.4	0.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	80	78	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.28	22	-12	34	16.6	17.5	-0.92	17.2	16.2	1.04
Eddie Jones	89	88	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	5	0	16.9	14.7	2.23	16.9	20.0	-3.09
Anthony Mason	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	16.6	17.5	-0.94	16.4	20.3	-3.91
Derrick Coleman	81	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	8	-6	16.8	16.4	0.39	16.0	22.8	-6.83
Baron Davis	21	20	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	17.3	16.6	0.74	20.1	16.2	3.85
Eddie Robinson	17	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	17.5	16.6	0.94	20.3	16.4	3.91
David Wesley	71	70	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	13	-16	16.2	18.3	-2.11	16.4	19.0	-2.61
Brad Miller	29	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	14	-18	17.0	16.7	0.35	19.5	15.9	3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	92.7%
LAC 93, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,1	89.8%
TOR 87, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.86,0.95,1	89.7%