inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 85 Excitement7.0 [229] MVPSean Elliott (SAS): +63.8%
San Antonio Spurs 86 Comeback81.0 [9] LVPDamon Stoudamire (POR): -25.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stacey Augmon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00380%0.0500.004100%0.02
Greg Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.011100%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021449%0.021-0.027100%0.04
Jermaine O'Neal-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00162%-0.0100.00650%-0.03
Jim Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.010.03-0.05-0.00658%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.02956%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Rider-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00433%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0110%-0.041-0.0420%-0.03
Rasheed Wallace-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08-0.07-0.04-0.041541%0.012-0.09250%-0.01
Walt Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2-0.11-0.11-0.01719%-0.181-0.02250%-0.02
Damon Stoudamire-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.26-0.15-0.14-0.031547%-0.137-0.13250%-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.640.640.210.470.0410110%0.692-0.0500%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.10.100.040.05-0.01769%0.111-0.012100%0.05
Will Perdue00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.03-0.011058%0.074-0.07450%-0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.011166%0.074-0.101354%-0.08
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.0150%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.09-0.00433%-0.092-0.08450%-0.03
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.15-0.080.021729%-0.163-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.32.634.118.329.52.841.2160.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +78.8%
SAS +4.3%
POR -23.9%
POR -3.2%
POR -6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSASNBAPORSASNBA
this game17.615.515.897.798.999.6
season16.015.9102.0101.1
opponent15.915.992.796.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.316.019.918.617.6
SAS15.016.816.114.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal17160.31-0.811.110.078-91716.317.9-1.6516.215.30.86
Arvydas Sabonis53510.22-0.720.950.056-71318.616.02.6116.214.51.68
Kelvin Cato19210.06-0.560.630.060-1113.618.7-5.1016.315.21.06
Isaiah Rider4141-0.02-0.480.460.01-10-117.917.40.4915.215.8-0.59
Walt Williams3028-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-65-1117.217.8-0.6414.715.8-1.08
Greg Anthony2627-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.32-32-515.218.6-3.4116.415.11.29
Stacey Augmon3232-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.33-32-515.618.8-3.2115.415.5-0.12
Jim Jackson5353-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.44-10-117.318.1-0.7715.715.20.45
Rasheed Wallace5657-0.560.06-0.61-0.560-1117.717.50.2615.016.3-1.30
Damon Stoudamire6261-0.570.07-0.65-0.55-10-118.515.53.0014.916.9-2.00
Brian Grant4749-0.810.31-1.13-0.61-76-1320.214.65.6415.215.8-0.54

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Elie41430.91-0.411.320.5014-132714.516.3-1.7920.414.95.44
Sean Elliott59590.67-0.170.830.583-2514.318.0-3.6617.817.20.60
David Robinson72710.60-0.100.700.513-2515.913.62.2818.314.63.75
Tim Duncan85840.58-0.080.660.416-51115.420.5-5.1417.911.06.86
Steve Kerr21210.280.220.070.31-12-317.115.02.1913.618.9-5.27
Avery Johnson66660.220.28-0.070.162-1315.017.1-2.1918.913.65.27
Will Perdue44-0.070.57-0.650.01-34-712.015.7-3.6515.217.7-2.48
Malik Rose1315-0.110.61-0.710.01-45-915.215.5-0.3913.718.4-4.78
Jerome Kersey2828-0.170.67-0.83-0.11-23-518.014.33.6617.217.8-0.60
Jaren Jackson4644-0.410.91-1.32-0.03-1314-2716.314.51.7914.920.4-5.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 1000.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,192.2%
IND 102, MIL 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,191.5%
DAL 96, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,191.0%