inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 88 Excitement4.6 [548] MVPJalen Rose (IND): +19.3%
Indiana Pacers 110 Comeback1.6 [475] LVPMark Jackson (IND): -8.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.08-0.00-0.011663%0.1010.00367%-0.01
Ervin Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.01367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.011100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Sam Cassell0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.011654%0.042-0.033100%0.01
Armen Gilliam-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00653%-0.0000.005100%0.01
Tim Thomas-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04745%-0.011-0.00650%-0.01
Chris Gatling-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0220%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Robert Traylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.03250%0.013-0.06250%-0.02
Glenn Robinson-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011644%-0.012-0.054100%0.01
Dell Curry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03812%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Haywoode Workman-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02325%-0.042-0.042100%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.190.030.0410104%0.202-0.003100%0.02
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.010.00975%0.122-0.042100%0.01
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00865%0.0510.001100%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.021159%0.042-0.02540%-0.04
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02362%0.022-0.032100%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01850%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03841%-0.021-0.02683%0.01
Reggie Miller0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.011544%-0.041-0.036100%0.03
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0010%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.028.216.528.32.428.4130.5
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +26.9%
IND +11.7%
IND +17.1%
MIL -8.1%
IND +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILINDNBAMILINDNBA
this game15.916.315.897.8123.699.6
season15.816.4102.4105.4
opponent16.016.4101.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL18.016.813.615.315.9
IND15.417.517.115.316.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Thomas37370.05-0.550.610.050-222216.615.31.2817.915.22.75
Robert Traylor33310.01-0.510.510.06-2-201814.516.7-2.2316.316.3-0.04
Chris Gatling1114-0.09-0.410.310.08-6-161019.015.43.5717.416.11.24
Armen Gilliam3031-0.16-0.340.180.13-10-12216.515.60.9015.816.6-0.73
Ray Allen7472-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-171215.019.8-4.8016.515.41.19
Haywoode Workman3235-0.24-0.260.010.22-16-6-1016.715.41.2315.616.8-1.22
Sam Cassell5854-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-161015.416.7-1.2316.815.61.22
Dell Curry3132-0.29-0.21-0.070.06-12-10-217.015.31.7815.616.7-1.17
Ervin Johnson5150-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-13-9-416.315.40.9015.517.3-1.81
Glenn Robinson6662-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.07-14-8-615.217.7-2.4516.815.11.73
Michael Curry2727-0.530.03-0.560.23-264-3016.515.60.8814.717.0-2.31

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Davis59570.480.020.45-0.142112015.717.5-1.8416.315.21.13
Jalen Rose50490.470.030.45-0.112021816.316.30.0615.815.9-0.11
Derrick McKey36380.440.060.37-0.152021816.016.5-0.5716.415.41.01
Mark Jackson53550.300.200.110.04913-416.715.70.9515.816.0-0.22
Reggie Miller58600.300.200.100.06814-616.815.41.4215.017.6-2.55
Sam Perkins27250.240.26-0.02-0.261751215.816.5-0.7217.415.32.18
Travis Best36350.200.30-0.11-0.19139415.716.7-0.9516.015.80.22
Dale Davis59590.070.43-0.360.04121-2016.416.20.1215.815.9-0.10
Rik Smits28320.020.48-0.450.11-325-2817.915.62.2515.016.3-1.30
Austin Croshere210.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.016.4-3.3919.015.83.17
Fred Hoiberg210.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.016.4-3.3919.015.83.17
Chris Mullin3538-0.020.52-0.540.10-426-3016.316.3-0.0015.616.0-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 87, SEA 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
TOR 83, NOH 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
NYK 94, MIA 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%